专访贵金属组第一名"蔡神驾到" 本届实盘交易大赛中，参赛账户"蔡神驾到"获得了贵金属组第一名、轻量组第六名的好成绩。该账户的 操盘手蔡俊阳始终坚信，进攻是最好的防守，长线持仓是盈利的根本，盈利的核心在于做自己熟悉的品 种。"判断风口，站在风口，等风来。"他说。 心态与策略的突破 蔡俊阳始终坚信"进攻是最好的防守"，不过他也强调，进攻要建立在对品种的深度认知与对行情的清晰 判断上。 "我对黄金、白银的基本面和价格走势有着近乎本能的熟悉。"他认为，交易者一定要做自己熟悉的品 种。 在行情判断上，他从不依赖单一指标，而是构建了宏大的分析框架。 在他看来，交易的核心是"判断风口，站在风口，等风来"，不要去抢不属于自己的机会。而且行情是动 态的，要跟着市场的脚步推理、求证，而非死守预设。 在他看来，真正能实现长期盈利的是"认清楚大方向、拿得住单子"的人。他认为，只要方向正确、持仓 够久，赚钱并不难。当然，进攻不代表无视风险，他的防守逻辑很简单，就是赚钱后及时出金，这样即 便后续亏损，也有重新起步的资本。 杜绝从众心理 十余年来，蔡俊阳的交易生涯始终与大起大落相伴。2016年，蔡俊阳首次遭遇重创，账户里的40万元本 金仅 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the success of Li Guofeng, who achieved the 10th place in the 19th National Futures (Options) Trading Competition, using a strategy focused on "bearish oil and bullish silver" options, establishing himself as a benchmark for small capital traders [1] Group 1: Trading Strategy - Li Guofeng's trading philosophy is centered around the idea that "offense is the best defense," which reflects the survival rules for options buyers [1] - His key trades during the competition were based on commodities, specifically bearish oil options and bullish silver options, utilizing a method that combines fundamentals and market sentiment [2] - The success of his trades was attributed to tracking OPEC+ production cuts and analyzing market sentiment through position data and the Volatility Index (VIX) [2] Group 2: Monthly Trading Approach - Li Guofeng employs a "monthly offensive strategy," allocating a fixed amount of funds for options trading each month, with a single entry per commodity, only increasing positions when the trend remains intact [3] - This strategy is informed by a deep understanding of the characteristics of options buyers, who face high risks and potential losses if they engage in frequent trading [3] - He focuses on liquid commodities such as oil, precious metals, and non-ferrous metals, which are significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors and have transparent supply chain information [3] Group 3: Risk Management and Mindset - Li Guofeng emphasizes the importance of systematic trading frameworks, having transitioned from a previous focus on index futures, where he suffered losses due to chasing trends [4] - His current strategy involves monthly fund allocation and trend tracking, with a focus on isolating profits and managing risks through profit withdrawals and dividing capital into ten parts to mitigate the impact of consecutive losses [4] - He advocates for traders to maintain a "trading diary" to document decision-making processes and outcomes, as learning from failures is crucial for avoiding repeated mistakes [4]