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烘焙行业持续内卷:桃李面包营收利润双降,广告多卖得少
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-10-30 11:33
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, attributed to increased competition in the baking industry and rising operational costs [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.048 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.88% [1]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 288 million yuan, down 30.33% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 1.437 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 11.64% [1]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring items for Q3 was 94 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year drop of 30.96% [1]. Operational Challenges - The company cited three main reasons for the decline in net profit: decreased revenue, increased fixed costs from new project depreciation, and higher advertising and tax expenses [4]. - Sales expenses for the first three quarters were 350 million yuan, slightly lower than 368 million yuan in the same period of 2024, but the sales expense ratio increased from 7.91% to 8.64% due to the larger revenue decline [4]. Industry Context - The baking industry is experiencing intensified competition, with a reported 10.3 million new stores opening and 9.5 million closing in 2024, leading to a significant turnover rate [4]. - The market size for the baking sector is projected to grow by 5.2% year-on-year in 2024, reaching 110.5 billion yuan, and is expected to reach 116 billion yuan in 2025, indicating a trend of increasing scale and competition [4]. Capacity and Expansion - The company has not yet reached full production capacity, with an overall capacity of 225,800 tons and an actual output of 142,300 tons, resulting in a utilization rate of 63.02% [6]. - New production bases are being established in Shanghai and Foshan, with capacities of 30,000 tons and 69,000 tons, respectively, to capture more market share [6]. - Another baking company, Yuanzu Co., is also facing performance pressures while seeking expansion, indicating a broader trend in the industry [6].