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德科立(688205):DCI业务加速增长,传统电信市场承压
Western Securities· 2025-11-05 11:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 220 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.3% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.7%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 10 million yuan, down 45.6% year-on-year [1][4] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 650 million yuan, an increase of 8.6% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 47.4% to 40 million yuan [1][4] - The traditional telecom market is under pressure, leading to short-term fluctuations in profitability. The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 27.4%, down 5.5 percentage points year-on-year but up 2.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net margin was 5.5%, down 6 percentage points year-on-year and 0.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company is positioned as a core supplier in the DCI (Data Center Interconnect) market, with significant growth potential in OCS (Optical Circuit Switching) technology [2] Financial Summary - The company expects revenues to grow from 819 million yuan in 2023 to 2.701 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 60.6% [3] - The net profit is projected to fluctuate, with estimates of 71 million yuan in 2025, followed by a significant increase to 250 million yuan in 2026 and 411 million yuan in 2027 [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to decrease to 0.45 yuan in 2025 but rebound to 1.58 yuan in 2026 and 2.60 yuan in 2027 [3]