Core Viewpoint - Phosphate concept stocks have surged, with significant increases in share prices for companies such as Qing Shui Yuan, Chengxing Co., and Batian Co. due to anticipated growth in the energy storage battery market, particularly for lithium iron phosphate batteries [1] Group 1: Market Trends - As of June 6, phosphate concept stocks experienced notable gains, with Qing Shui Yuan hitting a 20% limit up, and other companies like Chengxing Co. and Batian Co. also reaching their limit up [1] - The global energy storage battery shipment is projected to exceed 260 GWh in the first half of 2025, with a full-year estimate of over 500 GWh, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 60% [1] Group 2: Demand Projections - Approximately 95% of the energy storage batteries will be lithium iron phosphate batteries, which translates to a demand for about 120,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate driven by energy storage battery shipments in 2025 [1] - The demand for phosphate rock is expected to increase significantly, with an estimated requirement of around 4.4 million tons of phosphate rock raw material driven by energy storage shipments in 2025, accounting for over 4% of China's current phosphate rock production [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - The upstream phosphate rock segment is viewed as having the most rigid supply within the lithium iron phosphate industry chain, with a consumption rate of approximately 3.5 tons of phosphate rock raw material per ton of lithium iron phosphate [1] - The uncertainty in the release schedule of new phosphate rock project capacities, combined with the rigid support from traditional agricultural demand and steady growth in power batteries, suggests that the phosphate rock segment's prosperity may exceed expectations, with potential for a temporary supply gap [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The recent US-China talks have led to a potential recovery in demand, which is expected to positively impact the chemical industry [7] - The energy storage sector is driving an optimistic outlook for lithium battery demand, particularly benefiting the phosphate rock segment due to its rigid supply characteristics [7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The chemical industry is facing challenges due to the US-China trade disputes, but recent negotiations have shown signs of easing tensions, which may stabilize demand [7] - The global energy storage battery shipments are projected to exceed 500 GWh in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 60% [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in companies that are well-positioned in the green polyester industry, such as Wankai New Materials (301216) [3] - Companies in the pesticide formulation sector, like Runfeng Co. (301035), Guoguang Co. (002749), and Hailier (603639), are also recommended for purchase due to their lower exposure to trade disputes [3] - The report highlights potential recovery in the petrochemical and chemical sectors, suggesting investments in Sinopec (600028), Hengli Petrochemical (600346), Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493), Wanhua Chemical (600309), and Huayi Group (600623) [3]