Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Lu Xi Chemical has provided insights into its revenue composition during an investor meeting held on July 31, 2025 [2] - The revenue composition for Lu Xi Chemical in 2024 is as follows: Chemical industry accounts for 68.43%, Basic chemical industry accounts for 19.47%, Fertilizer industry accounts for 10.3%, and Other industries account for 1.8% [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [5] Core Viewpoints - The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran has significantly increased the risk premium for oil and gas, impacting prices and market dynamics [8][17] - There is a heightened focus on Iranian chemical products due to their substantial global production and export share, particularly methanol and ethylene glycol [8][17] - The report highlights that even if Iranian oil exports cease, other suppliers like OPEC+ can quickly fill the gap, but damage to Iranian chemical production facilities could have long-term effects [8][17] Price Changes - The report monitors 188 chemical products, with the top three price increases being crude oil (up 13.7%), paraxylene (up 10.5%), and WTI (up 10.4%); the largest declines were in liquid chlorine (down 60.0%), vitamin E (down 14.2%), and acrylic short fiber (down 7.9%) [14][18] - The report also notes significant changes in price spreads, with the largest increases in BDO spread (up 6955.9%), hydrogen peroxide spread (up 500.0%), and butyl acrylate spread (up 97.7%); the largest declines were in R410a spread (down 25100.0%), PTA (down 38.5%), and PTMEG spread (down 22.8%) [18][19] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in companies that are expected to benefit from the price increases due to the Israel-Iran conflict, including Huayi Group (600623), Baofeng Energy (600989), Satellite Chemical (002648), and Wankai New Materials (301216) [8] - It also suggests focusing on agricultural chemical companies with differentiated growth logic, such as Yangnong Chemical (600486) and Runfeng Shares (301035), as well as companies less affected by overseas fluctuations, including Guoguang Shares (002749), Hualu Hengsheng (600426), and Huamao Technology (603181) [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" for companies with strong fundamentals and low correlation to oil prices, suggesting a bottom-fishing strategy [10][18]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a recovery in macro expectations, with a notable increase in oil prices due to supply risks from geopolitical tensions and seasonal demand [10][14]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic demand and opportunities in new material substitutions, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring planting season [10][18]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Viewpoints - Oil prices have risen this week, with a focus on companies that have strong fundamentals and are less affected by oil price fluctuations [10][18]. - Recommendations include companies like Wanhua Chemical, Huamao Technology, Runfeng Co., Guoguang Co., and Hualu Hengsheng, highlighting their unique market positions and growth potential [10][18]. 2. Oil and Chemical Price Information 2.1 Oil - As of June 6, Brent oil prices increased by 4.02% to $66.47 per barrel, driven by supply risks and seasonal demand [14]. - U.S. crude oil commercial inventories decreased by 4.3 million barrels to 436.1 million barrels [14]. 2.2 Chemicals - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were for liquid chlorine (up 11.8%), natural gas (up 9.3%), and hydrochloric acid (up 4.6%) [15]. - The report notes significant monthly price changes, with hydrochloric acid increasing by 54.5% [10][15]. 3. Price and Spread Changes - The report highlights the top three products with the largest weekly spread increases: R410a spread (up 200.0%), acrylic acid butyl ester spread (up 58.2%), and PTA (up 45.9%) [10][20]. - Monthly spread changes show significant increases in the electric stone method PVC spread (up 216.9%) [10][20].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [7] Core Viewpoints - This week, oil prices experienced a slight decline, while the prices of acrylic acid and coal tar saw significant increases. The report emphasizes a focus on leading companies with strong alpha that are less correlated with oil prices, suggesting a bottom-fishing strategy. It also highlights the importance of domestic demand and opportunities in new material domestic substitution, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring farming peak [9][17]. Summary by Sections Oil and Chemical Prices Information - As of May 23, Brent oil price decreased by 0.96% to $64.78 per barrel. The report notes that U.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased by 1.3 million barrels to 443.2 million barrels, with gasoline inventories rising by 800,000 barrels and distillate inventories by 600,000 barrels [13][14]. - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were acrylic acid (up 10.8%), coal tar (up 7.6%), and anthracene oil (up 5.7%). The largest declines were seen in liquid chlorine (down 16.7%), formic acid (down 8.0%), and tetrachloroethylene (down 7.2%) [9][14]. Price and Spread Changes - The report indicates that the top three products with the largest weekly price increases were acrylic acid (up 10.8%), coal tar (up 7.6%), and anthracene oil (up 5.7%). The largest monthly price increases were liquid chlorine (up 40.2%), but it also noted significant declines in formic acid (down 29.2%) [9][15]. - The top three products with the largest weekly spread increases were MTP spread (up 35.0%), acrylic acid spread (up 33.2%), and BDO spread (up 29.5%). The report also highlights significant declines in the spreads of acrylic acid butyl ester (down 710.1%) and R410a spread (down 100.0%) [9][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment: - Wanhua Chemical (600309, Buy): Core product MDI is seeing profit improvements, with new petrochemical and new material projects coming online [17]. - Huangma Technology (603181, Buy): A leading special polyether company that has entered a growth phase again [17]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd. (301035, Buy): A rare company with a global layout for formulation registration and sales channels [17]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd. (002749, Buy): A leading company in the plant growth regulator sector [17]. - Hualu Hengsheng (600426, Buy): Core product prices are recovering alongside a decline in coal prices, leading to continuous improvement in spreads [17].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Views - The report highlights that the recent US-China tariff policy has been implemented, leading to a further increase in oil prices. The focus remains on leading companies with strong alpha that are less correlated with oil prices, suggesting a bottom-up investment approach. There is significant uncertainty regarding the US tariff policy, and short-term attention should be on domestic demand and opportunities for domestic substitutes in new materials. The agricultural chemical sector, characterized by rigid demand and dividend attributes, is recommended for investment [13][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with strong fundamentals that are less affected by oil price fluctuations. It suggests a bottom-up investment strategy and highlights the agricultural chemical sector as a promising area due to its rigid demand [13]. 2. Oil and Chemical Price Information 2.1 Oil - As of May 16, Brent oil prices increased by 2.3% to $65.41 per barrel. The report notes that while oil prices are rising, the increase in US oil inventories has somewhat restrained the price growth. As of May 9, US commercial oil inventories stood at 441.8 million barrels, with a weekly increase of 3.5 million barrels [14]. 2.2 Chemicals - Among the 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were for butadiene (up 21.1%), SBS (up 13.6%), and benzene (up 11.4%). Conversely, the largest declines were seen in liquid chlorine (down 464.3%), natural gas (down 8.1%), and formic acid (down 7.4%). The report attributes the significant rise in butadiene prices to increased downstream demand and supply constraints [15][16]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement, with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [13]. - Huangma Technology: A leader in specialty polyether, responding positively to previous macro demand pressures [13]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd.: A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [13]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd.: A leading domestic differentiated formulation company in the plant growth regulator sector [13]. - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to improved price differentials [13].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Viewpoints - Oil prices rebounded due to the US-UK trade agreement and increased geopolitical uncertainties. The report remains optimistic about leading companies with strong alpha that are less correlated with oil prices, suggesting bottom-fishing strategies. It emphasizes the importance of domestic demand and opportunities in new material substitutions, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring farming season [13][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a rebound in oil prices influenced by geopolitical factors and trade agreements, maintaining a focus on companies with strong fundamentals and less dependency on oil prices. It suggests monitoring domestic demand and new material opportunities, especially in the agricultural sector [13]. 2. Oil and Chemical Prices Information 2.1 Oil - As of May 9, Brent oil prices increased by 4.3% to $63.91 per barrel. The US commercial crude oil inventory was 438.4 million barrels, a weekly decrease of 2 million barrels. Gasoline inventory rose by 200,000 barrels, while distillate and propane inventories saw decreases [14]. 2.2 Chemicals - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases were liquid chlorine (up 134.1%), natural gas (up 8.0%), and polymer MDI (up 5.0%). The top three price decreases were formic acid (down 10.0%), succinic anhydride (down 9.4%), and cyclohexanone (down 6.9%) [15]. 3. Investment Recommendations and Targets - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [13]. - Huangma Technology: A leading special polyether company that has entered a growth phase [13]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd.: A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [13]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd.: A leading company in the plant growth regulator sector [13]. - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to improved price differentials [13].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Viewpoints - Oil prices rebounded due to the US-UK trade agreement and increased geopolitical uncertainties. The report remains optimistic about leading companies with strong alpha that are less correlated with oil prices, suggesting bottom-fishing strategies. It emphasizes the importance of domestic demand and opportunities in new material substitutes, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring farming season [13][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a rebound in oil prices influenced by geopolitical factors and trade agreements, maintaining a focus on companies with strong fundamentals and less dependency on oil prices. It suggests monitoring domestic demand and new material substitutes, especially in the agricultural sector [13][14]. 2. Oil and Chemical Prices Information 2.1 Oil - As of May 9, Brent oil prices increased by 4.3% to $63.91 per barrel. The US commercial crude oil inventory was 438.4 million barrels, a weekly decrease of 2 million barrels. Gasoline inventory rose by 200,000 barrels to 225.7 million barrels, while distillate fuel inventory decreased by 1.1 million barrels to 106.7 million barrels [14]. 2.2 Chemicals - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were liquid chlorine (up 134.1%), natural gas (up 8.0%), and polymer MDI (up 5.0%). The top three price decreases were formic acid (down 10.0%), succinic anhydride (down 9.4%), and cyclohexanone (down 6.9%) [9][15]. 3. Investment Recommendations and Targets - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [13]. - Huangma Technology: A leading special polyether company that has entered a growth phase [13]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd.: A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [13]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd.: A leading company in the plant growth regulator sector [13]. - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to improved price differentials [13].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant decline in oil prices, suggesting a focus on domestic demand and opportunities in domestic substitutes for new materials. It emphasizes the importance of companies with strong fundamentals that are less correlated with oil prices [13][14] - The report recommends several companies for investment, including WanHua Chemical, Huangma Technology, Runfeng Co., Guoguang Co., and Hualu Hengsheng, citing their strong market positions and improving profitability [13] Summary by Sections 1. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a substantial drop in oil prices, with Brent crude falling 8.3% to $61.29 per barrel as of May 2, 2025. This decline is attributed to OPEC+ production increases and global trade tensions affecting supply and demand dynamics [14] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and less sensitivity to oil price fluctuations, particularly in the agricultural chemicals sector, which is experiencing robust demand due to the spring farming season [13] 2. Oil and Chemical Price Information - As of April 25, 2025, U.S. crude oil commercial inventories stood at 440.4 million barrels, with a weekly decrease of 270 thousand barrels. Gasoline inventories decreased by 4 million barrels to 225.5 million barrels, while distillate inventories increased by 900 thousand barrels to 107.8 million barrels [14] - The report monitors 188 chemical products, noting that the top three price increases for the week were for liquid chlorine (up 58.8%), natural gas (up 14.0%), and monoammonium phosphate (up 3.9%). Conversely, the largest declines were seen in formic acid (down 7.7%), pure benzene (down 6.5%), and vitamin A (down 6.4%) [15] 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - WanHua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement, with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [13] - Huangma Technology: A leader in specialty polyether, responding well to previous macro demand challenges [13] - Runfeng Co.: A rare investment target with a global layout for formulation registration and sales channels [13] - Guoguang Co.: A leading domestic differentiated formulation company in the plant growth regulator sector [13] - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside a decline in coal prices, leading to improved margins [13]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Views - The report highlights a significant decline in oil prices, suggesting a focus on domestic demand and opportunities in domestic substitutes for new materials. It emphasizes the importance of companies with strong fundamentals that are less correlated with oil prices [13][14] - The report recommends several companies based on their market positions and recent performance improvements, particularly in the agricultural chemicals sector due to the ongoing spring farming season [13] Summary by Sections 1. Core Views - The report indicates a substantial drop in oil prices, with Brent crude down 8.3% to $61.29 per barrel as of May 2, 2025. This decline is attributed to OPEC+ production increases and global trade tensions affecting supply-demand dynamics [14] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong alpha characteristics that are less affected by oil price fluctuations, particularly in the agricultural chemicals sector, which is experiencing robust demand [13] 2. Oil and Chemical Price Information - As of April 25, 2025, U.S. crude oil commercial inventories stood at 440.4 million barrels, with a weekly decrease of 270 thousand barrels. Gasoline inventories decreased by 4 million barrels to 225.5 million barrels, while distillate inventories increased by 900 thousand barrels to 107.8 million barrels [14] - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were for liquid chlorine (up 58.8%), natural gas (up 14.0%), and monoammonium phosphate (up 3.9%). The largest declines were seen in formic acid (down 7.7%), pure benzene (down 6.5%), and vitamin A (down 6.4%) [15] 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement, with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [13] - Huamao Technology: A leader in specialty polyether, responding well to previous macro demand pressures [13] - Runfeng Co., Ltd.: A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [13] - Guoguang Co., Ltd.: A leader in differentiated formulations in the plant growth regulator sector [13] - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to improved margins [13]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [7] Core Views - Oil prices are experiencing fluctuations due to tariff negotiations, OPEC+ production changes, and Middle East tensions. The report emphasizes a focus on leading companies with strong fundamentals and low correlation to oil prices, suggesting bottom-fishing strategies. There is a recommendation to pay attention to domestic demand and opportunities in new material domestic substitution, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring farming season [14][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Views - The report highlights the importance of monitoring oil prices and related inventory levels, with U.S. crude oil commercial inventory at 443.1 million barrels, a weekly increase of 20 barrels. Gasoline inventory decreased by 4.5 million barrels to 229.5 million barrels, while distillate inventory decreased by 2.4 million barrels to 106.9 million barrels [3][16]. 2. Price Changes - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were for polymer MDI (up 6.0%), DEG (up 5.7%), and diethanolamine (up 5.7%). The largest decreases were for silicone oil (down 12.9%), DMC (down 11.1%), and natural gas (down 9.5%). Monthly price increases were led by trichloroethylene (up 16.3%), epoxy chloropropane (up 9.2%), and diethanolamine (up 7.7%) [10][17]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement, with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [14]. - Huangma Technology: A leading special polyether company that has entered a growth phase [14]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd.: A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [14]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd.: A leading domestic differentiated formulation company in the plant growth regulator sector [14]. - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to continuous improvement in price differentials [15].