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宁德时代(300750):动储电池盈利能力表现强劲,全球化布局加速推进
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-21 14:06
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][23]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong profitability in energy storage batteries, with a global expansion strategy accelerating [1][3]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 18.549 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12% [2][9]. - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for power and energy storage batteries, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [23]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 104.186 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11% [2][9]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 283.072 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9%, and a net profit of 49.034 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36% [2][9]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 25.80%, a decrease of 1.92 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 19.13%, an increase of 4.12 percentage points year-on-year [2][9]. Sales and Production Capacity - The company’s energy storage battery sales exceeded 435 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of over 31% [3][20]. - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion with ongoing projects in various locations, including Shandong, Jiangxi, and Fujian, with total construction in progress amounting to 37.37 billion yuan as of Q3 2025 [3][21]. Product Development - The company continues to innovate in battery technology, launching new products such as the Kirin and Shenxing series for electric vehicles and the Tianxing series for commercial vehicles [4][22]. - In September 2025, the company introduced the NP3.0 technology platform, which boasts the highest safety rating in the battery industry [4][22]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a high capacity utilization rate, with an increasing proportion of high-end battery products contributing to stable profitability [3][20]. - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 69.313 billion yuan, 86.406 billion yuan, and 102.579 billion yuan, respectively [23].
宁德时代(300750):2025年中报点评:动储电池出货快速增长,产能扩张稳步推进
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-01 02:49
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][32] Core Views - The company achieved a net profit of 30.485 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 33%. Revenue for the same period was 178.886 billion yuan, up 7% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.02% and a net margin of 18.09% [1][9] - The company maintains a strong growth trend in power battery shipments, with a global market share of 38.1% as of May 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.6 percentage points. The revenue from power batteries in H1 2025 was 131.573 billion yuan, up 17% year-on-year [2][21] - The company is accelerating capacity expansion and enhancing its global layout, with a total planned capacity of 925 GWh by the end of H1 2025, an increase of 30 GWh from the end of 2024 [3][30] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 178.886 billion yuan, a 7% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 30.485 billion yuan, up 33% year-on-year. The gross margin was 25.02%, and the net margin was 18.09% [1][9] - For Q2 2025, revenue was 94.182 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11%. The net profit for Q2 was 16.523 billion yuan, up 34% year-on-year and 18% quarter-on-quarter [9][1] Market Position - The company’s power battery shipments are expected to exceed 215 GWh in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of over 30%. The Q2 shipment volume was approximately 115 GWh, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of nearly 13% [2][21] - The company’s energy storage battery revenue in H1 2025 was 28.4 billion yuan, with an estimated shipment volume of 55-60 GWh, marking a year-on-year growth of nearly 30% [2][26] Capacity Expansion and Globalization - The company’s battery production reached 310 GWh in H1 2025, with a capacity utilization rate of 90%. The total capacity at the end of H1 2025 was 690 GWh, with 235 GWh under construction [3][30] - The company is actively constructing or planning battery production facilities in Germany, Hungary, Spain, and Indonesia to enhance its global service capabilities [3][30] Future Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 66.202 billion yuan, 81.466 billion yuan, and 96.820 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 31%, 23%, and 19% [4][31] - The company continues to innovate with new battery products and is expanding its battery swapping ecosystem, having established over 400 battery swapping stations for passenger vehicles and around 100 for heavy trucks by the end of July 2025 [3][31]