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宁德时代(300750):2025年中报点评:动储电池出货快速增长,产能扩张稳步推进
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-01 02:49
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][32] Core Views - The company achieved a net profit of 30.485 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 33%. Revenue for the same period was 178.886 billion yuan, up 7% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.02% and a net margin of 18.09% [1][9] - The company maintains a strong growth trend in power battery shipments, with a global market share of 38.1% as of May 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.6 percentage points. The revenue from power batteries in H1 2025 was 131.573 billion yuan, up 17% year-on-year [2][21] - The company is accelerating capacity expansion and enhancing its global layout, with a total planned capacity of 925 GWh by the end of H1 2025, an increase of 30 GWh from the end of 2024 [3][30] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 178.886 billion yuan, a 7% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 30.485 billion yuan, up 33% year-on-year. The gross margin was 25.02%, and the net margin was 18.09% [1][9] - For Q2 2025, revenue was 94.182 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11%. The net profit for Q2 was 16.523 billion yuan, up 34% year-on-year and 18% quarter-on-quarter [9][1] Market Position - The company’s power battery shipments are expected to exceed 215 GWh in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of over 30%. The Q2 shipment volume was approximately 115 GWh, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of nearly 13% [2][21] - The company’s energy storage battery revenue in H1 2025 was 28.4 billion yuan, with an estimated shipment volume of 55-60 GWh, marking a year-on-year growth of nearly 30% [2][26] Capacity Expansion and Globalization - The company’s battery production reached 310 GWh in H1 2025, with a capacity utilization rate of 90%. The total capacity at the end of H1 2025 was 690 GWh, with 235 GWh under construction [3][30] - The company is actively constructing or planning battery production facilities in Germany, Hungary, Spain, and Indonesia to enhance its global service capabilities [3][30] Future Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 66.202 billion yuan, 81.466 billion yuan, and 96.820 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 31%, 23%, and 19% [4][31] - The company continues to innovate with new battery products and is expanding its battery swapping ecosystem, having established over 400 battery swapping stations for passenger vehicles and around 100 for heavy trucks by the end of July 2025 [3][31]