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美格智能(002881):国外市场放量带动毛利率环比修复,端侧AI成长空间广阔
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 01:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting significant price appreciation in the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.821 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.30%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 113 million yuan, up 23.88% year-on-year. However, the third quarter saw a revenue of 935 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.66%, but a net profit decline of 49.89% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company experienced growth in both domestic and international markets, with overseas revenue reaching 960 million yuan, a 38.1% increase year-on-year, while domestic revenue grew by 25.2% to 1.86 billion yuan. Despite challenges in gross margin due to low-margin product shipments and rising storage chip prices, the gross margin showed a recovery on a quarter-on-quarter basis [3]. - The company is focusing on 5G smart modules and AI hardware, with a strong position in the smart cockpit sector. The R&D team has successfully run high-computing models on smart modules, paving the way for large-scale applications of generative AI [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2025-2027, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.958 billion, 4.939 billion, and 5.926 billion yuan, respectively. The net profits are expected to be 206 million, 287 million, and 359 million yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 60, 43, and 34 times [4][9]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is well-positioned in the 5G smart module and AI sectors, with expectations of revenue structure optimization and gradual improvement in gross margin as high-end product revenue increases [3]. The embedded AI cellular module market is projected to account for 25% of all IoT module shipments by 2030, indicating significant growth potential [3].