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无锡鼎邦(872931):2025中报点评:国内客户总体需求放缓致业绩承压下滑,期待国外业务拓展带来新增量
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-23 12:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The overall demand from domestic customers has slowed down, leading to a decline in performance, with a 38% year-on-year drop in H1 2025 [2] - The company reported a revenue of 178 million yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 14.55% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12 million yuan, down 37.59% year-on-year [2] - The decline in performance is attributed to the overall industry environment, reduced new projects, and intense competition in bidding prices, resulting in a gross margin of 20.43%, down 2.03 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas business to generate new growth [4] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2023A to 2027E show fluctuations, with total revenue expected to reach 453.94 million yuan in 2025E, a 13.22% increase year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 45.11 million yuan in 2025E, reflecting a 15.19% increase year-on-year [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 0.48 yuan per share in 2025E, with a P/E ratio of 39.98 [1] Product Performance Summary - The main product, heat exchangers, saw a revenue decline of 13.80% to 104 million yuan in H1 2025, accounting for 58.55% of total revenue [3] - The revenue from the tube bundle segment decreased by 39.29% to 26 million yuan, while the air cooler segment experienced a slight increase of 7.50% to 47 million yuan [3] Market Trends and Opportunities - The domestic market benefits from the "reduce oil and increase chemical" trend, with a focus on energy-saving transformations in the petrochemical industry [4] - The company is actively expanding into international markets, achieving a breakthrough in overseas revenue in 2024, with a gross margin of 48.26%, significantly higher than the domestic market [4] - The company has established itself as a qualified supplier for major global companies, indicating potential for future growth in overseas business [4]