绿色航煤(SAF)
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IMO会议投票难产,但不改绿色低碳产业发展趋势
Orient Securities· 2025-10-19 13:45
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that despite the postponement of the IMO net-zero framework vote, the trend towards green and low-carbon industries remains unchanged. The opposition mainly comes from the US and oil-producing countries in the Middle East, while the EU and China are aligned in their support for the framework. This indicates that even if the framework is not fully implemented globally, significant markets like the EU and China will still see good development opportunities [7] - The report highlights the potential for a recovery in the petrochemical and chemical industries driven by "anti-involution" policies, with key stocks including Sinopec, Hengli Petrochemical, and Wanhua Chemical being recommended for investment [3] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report recommends investing in Wankai New Materials (301216) for its leading position in the green polyester industry. It also suggests buying stocks in pesticide formulation companies like Runfeng Co. (301035), Guoguang Co. (002749), and Hailier (603639), which are less affected by trade disputes. Additionally, it identifies several petrochemical companies, including Sinopec (600028), Hengli Petrochemical (600346), and Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493), as potential beneficiaries of the expected industry recovery [3] Industry Development Trends - The report discusses the impact of the IMO meeting on green methanol expectations, noting that while there are concerns about market development certainty, the overall growth of the green low-carbon industry is expected to continue. The report points out that the development of green aviation fuel (SAF) and recycled plastics will not be affected by the IMO vote delay, as these areas are driven by global decarbonization policies and environmental concerns [7]