Group 1 - The market experienced a rebound after a significant decline, but the adjustment in technology growth stocks has only partially addressed the value-for-money issue, with the adjustment amplitude over half but time still insufficient [2][4][5] - Historical experience suggests that when technology adjustments reach near the bull-bear boundary, it indicates a mid-term bottom area, but there may be a scenario of "amplitude in place, time insufficient" [2][4][5] - The current adjustment in technology growth stocks has passed the halfway mark, but the time required for recovery is more challenging, relying on industry catalysts and performance verification to digest valuations [2][4][5] Group 2 - The spring market is positioned as a potential rebound within a high-level consolidation phase, with two possible scenarios: a rebound in the high-level consolidation phase or a transition from adjustment to a bottom consolidation phase [5][6] - The spring market may see effective rebounds in offensive assets (technology and cyclical stocks), but upward breakthroughs are difficult to achieve, limiting the upper bound of the spring market [6][7] - The cyclical sector is expected to be the foundational asset for the spring market, with a focus on basic chemicals and industrial technology, while technology stocks may also see a general rebound due to improved short-term value-for-money [7][8] Group 3 - The "bull market two-stage theory" is a typical feature of the A-share bull market cycle, with historical examples indicating that structural bull markets are often followed by comprehensive bull markets after consolidation phases [5][6] - The current market is in a structural bull high position, with expectations for a comprehensive bull market to potentially begin in 2026 due to cyclical improvements in fundamentals and shifts in asset allocation towards equities [5][6] - The report highlights the importance of waiting for industry catalysts and performance verification to restore long-term value-for-money to historical medians, which may signal the restart of an upward trend [2][4][5]

Group 1 - The market experienced a rebound after a significant decline, but the adjustment in technology growth stocks regarding cost-performance issues has passed the halfway mark, with insufficient time for recovery [2][5][6] - Historical experience suggests that when technology adjustments reach near the bull-bear boundary, it indicates a mid-term bottom area, but there may be a situation of "sufficient amplitude, insufficient time" [2][5][6] - The current adjustment in technology growth stocks has exceeded half of its amplitude, but the time for recovery remains challenging, requiring industry catalysts and performance validation to digest valuations [5][6][7] Group 2 - The spring market is positioned as a potential rebound within a high-level consolidation phase, with effective rebounds in offensive assets (technology and cyclical stocks) likely to occur, but upward breakout logic may be difficult to realize [6][7][8] - The spring market may either be a rebound in the high-level consolidation phase of the bull market 1.0 or a transition from the adjustment phase to a bottom consolidation phase [6][7][8] - The spring market's upper limit may be constrained, as offensive assets are not yet sufficient to lead the market breakout, and the conditions for technology stocks to break upward are stricter [7][8][9] Group 3 - Short-term small rebounds are expected, with the spring market likely to see effective rebounds driven by a "policy bottom" and cyclical price increases, particularly in basic chemicals and industrial technology [8][9] - The overall adjustment amplitude of technology stocks is likely to be sufficient for a widespread rebound, with a focus on sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and national defense [9] - The Hong Kong stock market continues to exhibit high beta characteristics, with the Hang Seng Technology index showing more substantial adjustments and greater rebound elasticity [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 33.30 CNY, compared to the current price of 26.30 CNY [6]. Core Insights - The company's main products continue to see growth in both production and sales, with ongoing projects in diol, bio-based new materials, and light stabilizers ensuring long-term growth [2]. - The company demonstrated resilience in Q3 performance, with a slight decline in revenue and net profit year-on-year, but maintained a stable gross margin and net margin [12]. - The company has a rich project reserve and is steadily advancing capacity construction, which is expected to enhance its competitive position in the market [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,181 million CNY, with a slight increase to 2,220 million CNY in 2024, and further growth to 2,900 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 13.4% from 2024 to 2027 [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline from 250 million CNY in 2023 to 207 million CNY in 2024, before recovering to 292 million CNY by 2027 [4]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.20 CNY in 2023, decreasing to 1.00 CNY in 2024, and then gradually increasing to 1.40 CNY by 2027 [4]. Project Development - The company is actively pursuing the construction of various projects, including a 35,000 tons/year light stabilizer project expected to be completed by December 2024, and a new 25,000 tons/year light stabilizer project to enhance product variety and competitiveness [12]. - Technological innovations are being implemented to improve product performance and reduce reliance on traditional fossil resources, with several patents filed and granted in 2024 [12].

证券之星消息，11月28日，一带一路（399991）指数报收于2752.77点，涨0.71%，成交982.74亿元，换 手率0.58%。当日该指数成份股中，上涨的有66家，杰瑞股份以10.0%的涨幅领涨，下跌的有19家，中际 旭创以1.81%的跌幅领跌。 一带一路（399991）指数十大成份股详情如下： | 证券代码 | 股票简称 | 权重 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 | 总市值(亿元) | | 所属行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | sz300308 | 中际旭创 | 4.03% | 514.50 | -1.81% | | 5716.70 | ■ 通信 | | sh601899 | 影美碰,不 | 3.30% | 28.58 | -0.07% | | 7595.86 | 有色全属 | | sh603993 | 洛阳辑业 | 3.20% | 16.23 | 1.76% | 4 1 | 3472.30 | 有色金属 | | sh601857 | 中国石油 | 3.15% | 9.75 | -1.02% | | 17844.55 | 石油石 ...

今天（11月28日）A股市场主要指数低开高走，主要指数不同程度上涨，截至收盘，逾4000股上涨。具体个股方面表 现也比较活跃，多只A股午后强劲拉升，同时成交额激增。 港股市场今天整体小幅下跌，恒生指数收盘跌0.34%，机器人概念大涨。 A股海南自贸区概念大涨 多股午后扩大涨幅 今天A股市场主要指数低开高走，主要指数不同程度上涨，截至收盘，上证指数涨0.34%，深证成指涨0.85%，创业板 指涨0.7%。 盘面上，若按照申万一级行业划分，农林牧渔板块领涨，板块整体涨幅超过1.5%。 基础化工、钢铁、有色金属、电子等板块跟涨，涨幅均超过1%。 银行、煤炭板块走弱，成为少数下跌的板块。 今天A股市场个股表现活跃，截至收盘，全市场逾4000只个股上涨，不少个股午后拉升。 海昌新材午后快速拉升，盘中涨幅一度接近19%，后涨幅有所回落。成交方面，海昌新材今天全天成交超过5亿元，是 上一交易日的10倍以上。 思林杰午后扩大涨幅，盘中涨幅一度超过9%，至收盘仍大涨8.26%。与此同时，思林杰成交也出现放量，全天成交 1.14亿元，是上一交易日的3倍以上。 港股机器人概念大涨 港股市场今天整体小幅下跌，恒生指数收盘跌0.34% ...

今天（11月28日）A股市场主要指数低开高走，主要指数不同程度上涨，截至收盘，逾4000股上涨。具体个股方面表 现也比较活跃，多只A股午后强劲拉升，同时成交额激增。 港股市场今天整体小幅下跌，恒生指数收盘跌0.34%，机器人概念大涨。 A股海南自贸区概念大涨 多股午后扩大涨幅 今天A股市场个股表现活跃，截至收盘，全市场逾4000只个股上涨，不少个股午后拉升。 海昌新材（300885）午后快速拉升，盘中涨幅一度接近19%，后涨幅有所回落。成交方面，海昌新材今天全天成交超 过5亿元，是上一交易日的10倍以上。 思林杰午后扩大涨幅，盘中涨幅一度超过9%，至收盘仍大涨8.26%。与此同时，思林杰成交也出现放量，全天成交 1.14亿元，是上一交易日的3倍以上。 今天A股市场主要指数低开高走，主要指数不同程度上涨，截至收盘，上证指数涨0.34%，深证成指涨0.85%，创业板 指涨0.7%。 盘面上，若按照申万一级行业划分，农林牧渔板块领涨，板块整体涨幅超过1.5%。 基础化工、钢铁、有色金属、电子等板块跟涨，涨幅均超过1%。 银行、煤炭板块走弱，成为少数下跌的板块。 概念板块方面，海南自贸区概念午后涨幅扩大，表现抢眼，海 ...

基础化工 超配（维持） 基础化工行业双周报（2025/11/14-2025/11/27） 1-10 月份规模以上工业企业利润总额同比增长 1.9% 2025 年 11 月 28 日 分析师：苏治彬 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523080001 电话：0769-22110925 邮箱： suzhibin@dgzq.com.cn 行业指数走势 资料来源：iFinD，东莞证券研究所 相关报告 投资要点： 行 业 研 究 证 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 行 业 周 报 券 研 究 报 告 ◼ 行情回顾：截至11月27日，近两周申万基础化工指数下跌7.3%，跑输沪 深300指数3.3个百分点，在31个申万行业中排第30名；年初至今，申万 基础化工指数上涨26.0%，跑赢沪深300指数11.2个百分点，在31个申万 行业中排第8名。 ◼ 分板块来看，近两周申万基础化工指数的子板块均下跌，其中非金属材 料板块下跌12.0%、化学纤维板块下跌9.3%、化学原料板块下跌8.4%、化 学制品板块下跌7. ...

报 告 摘 要 乘势而起：市场新高趋势追踪 触及新高的个股、行业和板块可被视为市场的风向标。越来越多的研究表明动量、趋势跟踪策略的有效性。本报告旨在定期跟踪市场中创新高的个股及其 分布，以追踪市场趋势、把握市场热点。 截至2025年11月28日，上证指数、深证成指、沪深300、中证500、中证1000、中证2000、创业板指、科创50指数250日新高距离分别为3.50%、 5.40%、4.66%、6.85%、4.10%、2.78%、8.17%、13.77%。中信一级行业指数中家电、纺织服装、轻工制造、基础化工、通信行业指数距离250日 新高较近，食品饮料、综合金融、非银行金融、医药、房地产行业指数距离250日新高较远。概念指数中，家居用品、卫星导航、锂矿、林木、卫星互联 网、万得微盘股日频等权、操作系统等概念指数距离250日新高较近。 见微知著：利用创新高个股进行市场监测 截至2025年11月28日，共1043只股票在过去20个交易日间创出250日新高。其中创新高个股数量最多的是基础化工、电力设备及新能源、机械行业，创 新高个股数量占比最高的是纺织服装、电力设备及新能源、煤炭行业。按照板块分布来看，本周周期、 ...

万象更新，乘势而行-2026 年金融工程年度策略 分析师 缪铃凯 SAC 证书编号：S0160525060003 miaolk@ctsec.com 分析师 韩乾 SAC 证书编号：S0160525060004 hanqian@ctsec.com 分析师 张淼 SAC 证书编号：S0160525080008 zhangmiao@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《本周市场普跌，指增组合收益承压》 2025-11-22 2. 《沪深 300 增强超额收益领先市场》 2025-11-15 3. 《红利微盘哑铃型策略回归，指增超额表 现回暖》 2025-11-08 证券研究报告 金融工程专题报告 / 2025.11.28 核心观点 ❖ 公募基金投资策略： 市场回顾：2025 年公募基金蓬勃发展，规模与数量双增长，业绩表现亮眼。 业绩：2025 年以来基金整体表现优异，大部分基金取得了正收益，主动权益 基金区间收益均值高达 29.69%。配置：主动权益基金重仓股配置前三的板 块为科技、制造以及周期。 2026 年基金经理市场展望总结：宏观经济：平稳复苏；A 股：结构性机会仍 存，科技成长仍是主线；港股：估值处于历史偏 ...

Wind数据显示，截至2025年11月28日A股收盘，农林牧渔、有色金属、基础化工领涨市场，涨幅分别为1.59%、1.44%、1.31%。 农林牧渔 近期粮食产业链利好密集释放，政策与科技双轮驱动全链条升级。11月中旬第三届全国粮油和大豆产业博览会落幕，"四良融合" 成果落地叠加中央财政强 农政策，为产业注入强劲动能。全国702个县推进粮油单产提升，大豆种植面积连续三年超1.5亿亩、总产稳超2000 万吨。 中国银河证券认为，在扎实推进新一轮千亿斤粮食产能提升行动的背景下，持续强调单产提升、高标准农田建设、种业振兴等关键要点，叠加首次提出推进 农产品进口多元化，强调贸易和生产相协调，我们要在发挥优势的同时努力补短板，提统筹利用国内外市场，把握农业科技的应用与种业技术变革的核心。 全面覆盖A股市场粮食产业链的粮食ETF广发(159587)今日收涨1.71%。 有色金属 今年来，国家有关部门已采取一系列措施。例如，今年工业和信息化部等部门联合下发铜、氧化铝、黄金等产业高质量发展实施方案（2025-2027），旨在 优化产业结构，遏制低水平重复建设。 截至2025年11月28日A股收盘，港股创新药回调0.87%，药 ...