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安徽强势崛起,河南拒绝被超越,中部“新沿海”高地渐成
Core Viewpoint - The economic competition between Hubei and Henan provinces in central China is intensifying, with Henan maintaining its position as the largest economy in the region as of the third quarter of 2025, despite Hubei's strong performance in various sectors [1][2]. Economic Overview - As of the third quarter of 2025, Henan's economic total reached 48,867.57 billion yuan, while Hubei's was 44,875.62 billion yuan, resulting in a gap of 3,991.95 billion yuan, nearly doubling the difference from the first half of 2025 [2]. - The competition between the two provinces is particularly fierce in industrial output, consumption, and foreign trade [2]. Industrial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Henan's industrial growth rate remained above 8%, with a specific increase of 8.4% in the third quarter, compared to Hubei's 7.7% [4]. Consumer Market - Starting from the second quarter of 2025, Henan's consumer market began to outperform Hubei, with a growth rate that surpassed Hubei by 1 percentage point by the end of the third quarter [5]. Foreign Trade Dynamics - Hubei's foreign trade value exceeded 700 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 9.6%, leading the central region. In 2025, Hubei continued to show strong growth, with quarterly increases of 16.6%, 28.4%, and 25.3% [6]. - In contrast, Henan's foreign trade growth was slower, with a total value of 6,431.8 billion yuan and a growth rate of 18.7% in the first three quarters of 2025 [9]. Rise of Anhui - Anhui province has made significant strides in foreign trade, nearly closing the gap with Henan, achieving a total foreign trade value of 8,052.2 billion yuan in 2023, just 55.7 billion yuan behind Henan [8]. - By 2024, Anhui surpassed Henan in foreign trade value, establishing itself as the leading province in the central region [10]. New Economic Landscape - The central region is evolving into a "new coastal" area, leveraging improved transportation and industrial upgrades to enhance its economic geography [11]. - The construction of new transportation channels has shown significant results, with Hubei's cargo flight volume ranking fourth nationally and a 58% increase in cargo throughput [11]. Future Outlook - The competition among central provinces regarding economic totals and foreign trade is expected to remain intense, with the region transitioning from an "inland" to an "open highland" due to changes in transportation and integration into international supply chains [12].