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菲菱科思(301191):2025年三季报点评:Q3业绩持续修复,期待CT+IT多增长极发力
Minsheng Securities· 2025-10-30 11:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.24 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 50 million yuan, down 55.3% year-on-year. However, Q3 2025 showed a revenue of 510 million yuan, an 18.3% increase year-on-year and an 18.8% increase quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company is experiencing a recovery in performance, with significant improvements in Q3, driven by growth in data center switch sales and breakthroughs in overseas markets and server business. The operating cash flow for Q3 reached 160 million yuan, a substantial improvement from the negative 130 million yuan in Q2 [2]. - The company launched a stock incentive plan for 2025, granting 1.3953 million stock options (2.01% of total shares) to 430 core personnel, indicating management's confidence in future growth [3]. - The transfer of 15% equity in its subsidiary, Feiling Guoyi, to Guoyi New Energy is aimed at optimizing resource allocation, as the subsidiary has not achieved effective profitability [3]. - The company is making positive progress in its server and self-developed white-box switch products, with successful deliveries and advancements in high-end data center switches [4]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 1.679 billion yuan for 2024, with a growth rate of -19.1%, and expects to achieve 1.789 billion yuan in 2025, a growth rate of 6.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 78 million yuan in 2025, down 33.4% year-on-year [5][10]. - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 89, 65, and 36, respectively, indicating a potential for valuation improvement as earnings grow [5][10].