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金蝶国际(00268):公司点评:中报整体符合预期,关注AI合同超预期落地
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-12 02:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 71.1 billion, 82.7 billion, and 96.4 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.6%, 16.3%, and 16.6% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 1.2 billion, 5.4 billion, and 9.9 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with significant year-on-year growth rates of turning profitable, 342.1%, and 82.7% respectively [3] - The price-to-sales ratios are expected to be 7.9X, 6.8X, and 5.9X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3] Financial Summary - The company's revenue for 2023 is reported at 5,679 million RMB, with a growth rate of 16.71% [8] - The net profit for 2023 is reported at -210 million RMB, with a projected recovery to 122 million RMB in 2025 [8] - The diluted earnings per share are expected to improve from -0.06 RMB in 2023 to 0.28 RMB in 2027 [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise from -2.44% in 2023 to 10.19% in 2027 [8] Market Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 31.9 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.2% [9] - The annual recurring revenue (ARR) for cloud subscriptions reached 37.3 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 18.5% [9] - The gross margin for cloud subscriptions is reported at 96.2%, indicating a year-on-year increase of 1 percentage point [9]