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中金:升蜜雪集团(02097)目标价至555港元 维持“跑赢行业”评级
智通财经网· 2025-07-02 01:26
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the company, Mixue Group, is expected to maintain strong same-store sales growth and store openings in the domestic market, leading to an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 7% to 5.45 billion and 6.51 billion yuan respectively [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 33 and 28 times for 2025 and 2026, with an 18% increase in the target price to 555 HKD, indicating an upside potential of 8% [1] - The company is expected to benefit from a stable consumption environment and product upgrades, with same-store sales growth in 2025 projected to exceed the 1% level of 2024 [4] Group 2 - In Q2, most tea beverage brands experienced rapid same-store sales growth, with brands like Gu Ming and Cha Bai Dao recording double-digit percentage growth [3] - The recent easing of price competition on delivery platforms is expected to improve the competitive landscape in the long term, although it may cause short-term disruptions to same-store sales [3] - The company has signed over 6,000 stores nationwide as of June 27, compared to nearly 4,000 at the end of 2024, indicating a strong expansion strategy [4] Group 3 - The company is actively exploring overseas markets, with plans to open its first store in Brazil in 2025 and establish a supply chain factory for localized production [5] - The company is also focusing on product innovation and supply chain capabilities in markets like Indonesia and Vietnam, which are currently in an adjustment phase [5] - The company aims to maintain strong profitability despite potential margin pressures from its long-term strategy of mutual benefit with franchisees [4]