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Canalys:2025年全球智能手机出货量预计为12.2亿台 同比上升0.1%
智通财经网· 2025-06-09 06:42
Global Smartphone Market Overview - The global smartphone market is expected to see a year-on-year growth of 0.2% in Q1 2025, indicating a recovery phase [1] - The total global smartphone shipments are projected to reach 1.22 billion units in 2025, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1% compared to the previous year [1] - The market is anticipated to grow at a modest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1% from 2025 to 2029, facing challenges from low-end replacement demand and geopolitical uncertainties [1] High-End Smartphone Market Insights - The high-end smartphone segment (priced above $600) experienced a year-on-year shipment increase of 12% in Q1 2025, driven by manufacturers' commitment to premium offerings and advancements in AI technology [4] - Apple leads the high-end market with a 59% share, showing a 10% growth year-on-year [5] - Huawei's high-end segment grew by 69%, capturing a 9% market share, while Google and Xiaomi also reported significant growths of 21% and 81% respectively [4][5] Regional Market Performance - In the Asia-Pacific region (excluding Greater China), Apple holds a 61% market share in the high-end segment, with a 12% year-on-year growth [7] - In North America and Latin America, Apple dominates with a 71% market share, reflecting an 18% increase [7] - In Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, Apple maintains a 55% share with a 15% growth, while Samsung follows with a 37% share and a 13% increase [9] AI Smartphone Projections - The penetration rate of AI smartphones is expected to reach 34% by 2025, supported by advancements in chip capabilities and model efficiency [9] - Apple leads the global AI smartphone market with a shipment of 43.6 million units, accounting for 58% of the market [12] - In mainland China, Apple also leads with a 40% market share in AI smartphones, followed by Xiaomi with 26% [16] Foldable Smartphone Forecast - The foldable smartphone market is projected to achieve only a 0.1% year-on-year growth in 2025, with major manufacturers attempting to stimulate demand through price reductions and SKU expansions [24] - 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for the foldable market, potentially revitalized by Apple's rumored foldable product [24] 5G Smartphone Outlook - The penetration of 5G smartphones is expected to continue growing, with projections indicating that by 2029, 88% of smartphone shipments will be 5G-enabled [26]