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太平洋航运(02343.HK):业绩低于预期 股息具有吸引力
Ge Long Hui· 2026-03-13 06:52
Core Viewpoint - The company's 2025 performance is below expectations, primarily due to lower than anticipated TCE rates, despite achieving better pricing than industry averages [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of $2.081 billion in 2025, a year-on-year decline of 19% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was $58 million, corresponding to a basic earnings per share of 1.14 cents, down 56% year-on-year [1] - The company’s cash dividend for 2025 was $50.5 million, representing 100% of net profit after excluding ship sale proceeds [1] Dividend Policy - The company revised its dividend policy for 2026 to distribute at least 50% of net profit after excluding ship sale proceeds, with a potential increase to 100% if net cash is achieved by year-end - Based on current profit assumptions, the dividend yield for 2026 could be 4.3% or 8.6% depending on the payout ratio [1] Market Trends - Limited new supply is expected, with a positive outlook for small vessel supply-demand dynamics as the company continues to optimize its fleet structure - As of March 2026, the order book for large and small vessels stands at 11.7% and 8.5% respectively, with older vessels accounting for 13% and 14% of capacity [1] - The company announced the acquisition of four new small vessels, expected to be delivered in the first half of 2028, enhancing long-term competitiveness [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2026 remains at $176 million, with a new forecast of $180 million for 2027 - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 11.9 for 2026 and 11.5 for 2027 - The target price has been raised by 41.67% to HKD 3.4 per share, reflecting a 12.9 P/E for 2026 and 12.5 for 2027, indicating an upside potential of 8.63% from the current price [2]