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002878,11天8板!分析人士:业务模式存在明显短板
第一财经· 2025-06-16 11:31
Core Viewpoint - Yuanlong Yatu (002878.SZ) has seen a significant stock price surge driven by the hype around RWA (Real World Asset Tokenization) and IP economy, despite facing substantial financial losses and operational challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Dynamics - Yuanlong Yatu's stock price increased dramatically, achieving 8 consecutive trading limits within 11 days, with a total rise of nearly 90% in just over 20 days [1][2]. - The stock's surge was influenced by the approval of the "Stablecoin Regulation Draft" by the Hong Kong Legislative Council, which triggered movements in related concepts in the A-share market [2]. - The company reported a net inflow of over 3.3 billion yuan from major funds during the stock's upward trend, indicating strong market interest [2][3]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Challenges - Despite revenue growth from 1.99 billion yuan in 2020 to 2.79 billion yuan in 2024, Yuanlong Yatu's net profit has plummeted from 167 million yuan in 2022 to a loss of 1.84 billion yuan in 2024, highlighting a troubling trend of increasing revenue without corresponding profit [5][6]. - The company's heavy reliance on event-related revenue, particularly from the Winter Olympics, has led to significant volatility in earnings, with a dramatic drop in related income from 1.13 billion yuan in 2022 to just 55.5 million yuan in 2024 [6][8]. - The IP promotion service business has a low gross margin of 14.49%, significantly lower than competitors like Pop Mart, which has a gross margin of 66.8%, indicating a lack of competitive strength in IP operations [6][7]. Group 3: Strategic Investments and Future Outlook - Yuanlong Yatu has been increasing investments in R&D and sales, with total expenses in these areas reaching 382 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.83% [7]. - The company recorded a goodwill impairment of 171 million yuan due to the acquisition of Qianma Network, further exacerbating its financial losses in 2024 [8]. - Although the company reported a profit of 24.77 million yuan in Q1 2025, this was still a 13.74% decline year-on-year, raising concerns about the sustainability of its recovery, especially given its reliance on major events for revenue [8].