量子模拟器
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研判2025!中国量子模拟器行业发展历程、相关政策及市场规模分析:从理论突破到市场增长,迈向前沿应用的新征程[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-10-19 01:21
Core Insights - The quantum simulator industry in China is projected to reach a market size of approximately 1.506 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.23% [10][11] - Key challenges facing the quantum simulator sector include quantum noise accumulation and system scalability [10] - The development of modular architectures in quantum simulators, such as the nano-electronic quantum simulator by a US-UK joint team, enhances scalability from single units to large networks [10][11] Industry Overview - Quantum simulators are specialized computational tools based on quantum mechanics principles, primarily used to simulate the behavior of quantum systems [2] - They are categorized into digital quantum simulators and analog quantum simulators [2] Industry Development History - The concept of quantum simulation was established in 1982 by Richard Feynman, with significant milestones achieved in subsequent years, including the realization of the Fermi-Hubbard model by the University of Science and Technology of China in 2024 [4][5] - The development trajectory showcases a complete evolution from theoretical foundations to technological breakthroughs [4] Relevant Policies - Quantum technology has been included in China's "14th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing its importance as a core future industry [6] - The government has introduced various policies to support the research and industrialization of quantum technology, enhancing its global competitiveness [6] Industry Value Chain - The upstream of the quantum simulator industry includes essential components such as quantum chips, dilution refrigerators, and quantum light sources [8] - The midstream focuses on the manufacturing of quantum simulators and software development, while the downstream applications span finance, pharmaceuticals, logistics, and energy sectors [8] Market Size - The quantum simulator market in China is expected to grow significantly, with a projected size of 1.506 billion yuan in 2024, driven by advancements in quantum technology and government support [10][11] - Investment in quantum technology has surged, with 29 financing events recorded in the first eight months of 2025, marking a 93.33% increase year-on-year [10][11] Key Companies' Performance - The competitive landscape of the quantum simulator industry is characterized by leading hardware companies like GuoDun Quantum and Benyuan Quantum, which have established significant technological barriers [11] - GuoDun Quantum reported a revenue of 121 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 74.54% increase year-on-year, with R&D investment also rising [11][12] Industry Development Trends 1. **Technological Integration and Hardware Breakthroughs**: The next five years will see deep integration of quantum simulators with AI and digital twin technologies, enhancing performance and reducing error rates [14] 2. **Deepening Application Scenarios**: Quantum simulators will penetrate core sectors such as manufacturing and finance, optimizing processes and improving returns [14] 3. **Accelerated Standardization**: China aims to lead in establishing international standards for quantum simulators, enhancing compatibility and competitiveness on a global scale [15]