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光大证券:维持金蝶国际(00268)买入评级 目标价45.8港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 02:13
Core Viewpoint - Kingdee International focuses on subscription-first and AI-first strategies, enhancing its product capabilities with AI support, and maintains revenue forecasts for 2025 at 6.9 billion, 7.7 billion, and 8.5 billion CNY, with a "Buy" rating maintained [1] Group 1: Product Updates - The recent product upgrade includes a comprehensive enhancement of "platform + data cloud + AI-enhanced SaaS + AI native intelligent agents" [2] - "Xiao K" is introduced as a unified entry point for enterprise-level AI intelligent agents, integrating nearly 20 agents covering various fields such as supply chain, manufacturing, marketing, HR, finance, and ESG [2] - "Kingdee Cloud" is fully upgraded to "Kingdee AI," with a product strategy aligned to launch AI packages for enterprises of all sizes, and the flagship version will upgrade to "Kingdee AI Starry Sky Suite" on December 12 [2] Group 2: Data Infrastructure - Kingdee Data Cloud serves as a robust and reliable data foundation for the AI era, supporting AI native intelligent agents and AI-enhanced SaaS, providing complete solutions for clients [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Kingdee's subscription ARR grew approximately 18% year-on-year to 3.86 billion CNY, with a stable overall increase [4] - The renewal rates for various products are reported as follows: Cang Qiong & Xing Han at 105%, Xing Kong at 95%, Xing Chen at 93%, and Jing Dou Yun at 88% [4] Group 4: International Expansion - Kingdee accelerates its overseas strategy in three phases: first, serving Chinese enterprises going abroad; second, deepening local market engagement and building benchmark cases; third, establishing local R&D and delivery centers [5] - The management anticipates that overseas revenue could increase to 5%-10% of total revenue in the next 3-5 years [5]