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零跑汽车(09863):公司将进入快速成长期,业绩有望持续改善,建议“买进”
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [3][7]. Core Insights - The company is entering a rapid growth phase, with performance expected to improve continuously. The recent launch of the B10 model has generated significant market interest, with over 15,000 orders within the first hour of pre-sale [7]. - The company focuses on high cost-performance products, establishing a competitive advantage in the market. It maintains a self-research approach for over 70% of its core components, which supports rapid product iteration [7]. - The company is projected to achieve profitability by 2025, with net profits expected to reach 1.89 billion RMB, 22.4 billion RMB, and 43.9 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][9]. Company Overview - The company operates in the automotive industry, with a current stock price of HKD 41.50 as of March 10, 2025. The market capitalization is approximately 34.76 billion RMB [2]. - The company has a total share count of approximately 1,336.97 million, with 1,116.41 million shares listed as H shares [2]. - Major shareholder includes Chen Ailing, holding 25.09% of the shares [2]. Financial Performance - For the year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 32.16 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 92.1%. The net loss was reduced to 2.82 billion RMB, an improvement of 1.39 billion RMB compared to 2023 [7][9]. - The company achieved a gross margin of 8.38% for the year, with a significant increase in quarterly gross margin to 13.3% in Q4 2024 [7]. - Free cash flow turned positive, reaching 6.32 billion RMB, an increase of 6.64 billion RMB from the previous year [7]. Sales and Market Strategy - The company aims to sell 500,000 to 600,000 vehicles in 2025, with a target of doubling sales year-on-year. The B10 model is expected to contribute significantly to sales, with anticipated monthly sales of 20,000 to 25,000 units post-launch [7]. - The company plans to update existing models and introduce new vehicles to enhance its product lineup and brand influence [7].