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露他维®A 1000 NXT(Lutavit® A 1000 NXT)
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基础化工行业研究:反内卷继续,成长风格或将强化
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-06 10:02
Investment Rating - The report indicates a growth-oriented investment style, suggesting a focus on companies with marginal changes and new growth curves [2][3]. Core Views - The chemical market experienced an upward trend this week, with the Shenwan Chemical Index rising by 0.8%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.74% [2][11]. - Key events impacting the chemical industry include the resolution of the ethane export issue between the US and China, the lifting of force majeure on BASF's animal nutrition product, and the successful production of new materials in China [2][3][4]. - The report highlights the high valuation levels in the chemical sector, with a historical PB percentile of 20% and a PE percentile of 71% [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - Brent crude futures settled at an average price of $68.19 per barrel, down 0.25% week-on-week, while WTI futures increased by 0.9% to $66.3 per barrel [11]. - The basic chemical sector underperformed the index, with a decline of 0.74%, while the petrochemical sector fell by 1.03% [11]. Major Chemical Products Price Changes - The report provides detailed price changes for various chemical products, indicating fluctuations in market prices and demand dynamics [12][29]. Key Events - The US Department of Commerce's notification ended the ethane export turmoil, benefiting companies like Wanhua Chemical and Satellite Chemical [3]. - BASF's lifting of force majeure on Lutavit® A 1000 NXT is a significant development for the animal nutrition business [4]. - The successful production of new materials, such as AkzoNobel's 5000 tons of COC and Shanghai Jieda's 120,000 tons/year hexamethylenediamine, marks a positive trend in domestic new materials [2][3]. - SABIC's permanent shutdown of its olefins cracker in the UK, with an annual capacity of 865,000 tons of ethylene and 415,000 tons of propylene, indicates a continued exit of overseas capacity [4]. Industry Insights - The report emphasizes a growth-oriented investment approach, focusing on companies showing marginal changes and potential new growth trajectories [2][25]. - The chemical sector is currently experiencing high valuation levels, with a historical PB percentile of 20% and a PE percentile of 71% [2][12].