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缩量时代的白酒攻防:酒企普遍增速放缓,17家存货上涨;行业头部将进一步抢占下沉市场
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 09:53
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor industry is entering a phase of intense competition, with companies experiencing a slowdown in growth and adjusting their strategies for more sustainable development [2][21]. Financial Performance - In 2024, 21 listed liquor companies generated revenue of 443.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.63%, and a net profit of 168.08 billion yuan, up 7.01% [2]. - Only five companies achieved double-digit growth in both revenue and net profit in 2024, down from 15 the previous year [3][4]. - Guizhou Moutai led the industry with a revenue increase of 15.71% to 170.90 billion yuan and a net profit growth of 15.38% to 86.23 billion yuan [4][5]. Market Trends - The industry is experiencing a shift towards "volume competition," where stronger brands are consolidating their market positions while weaker brands struggle [2][21]. - Companies are increasing their marketing expenditures to maintain market share, with 12 out of 21 companies raising their sales expenses in 2024 [10][11]. Sales and Profitability - The highest increase in sales expenses was seen in Wuliangye, which spent 10.69 billion yuan, a 37.15% increase [11]. - Several companies, including Yanghe and Jiugui, reported declines in both revenue and net profit, indicating a challenging market environment [7][18]. Inventory and Contract Liabilities - Inventory levels are rising across most companies, with Water Well's inventory increasing by 31.13% to 3.22 billion yuan, highlighting the ongoing challenge of inventory management [15]. - Contract liabilities showed a mixed trend, with some companies like Gujing Gongjiu seeing a significant increase of 150.86% [14]. Future Outlook - For 2025, companies are setting more flexible growth targets, with many aiming for single-digit growth rates [18][20]. - The market is expected to continue evolving, with a focus on high-quality development and sustainable growth strategies [20][21].