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双汇发展(000895):2025 半年报点评:归母净利同比略增,现金高分红保持稳定
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-21 15:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company achieved a slight increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year growth of 1.17% to 2.32 billion yuan in H1 2025, while revenue grew by 3% to 28.503 billion yuan [1][9] - The company plans to continue expanding its network and implementing market innovation strategies in the second half of the year, with a focus on fresh products and new business developments in e-commerce and O2O channels [1][3] - The company maintains a high cash dividend policy, proposing a cash dividend of 2.252 billion yuan for H1 2025, which accounts for 96.94% of net profit, corresponding to an annualized dividend yield of approximately 5.32% [1][3] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In H1 2025, the company’s fresh products generated revenue of 13.769 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.33%, while the gross margin decreased by 0.26% to 4.90% [2][9] - The meat products segment reported revenue of 11.207 billion yuan, down 9.42% year-on-year, but the gross margin increased by 0.61% to 36.10% [2][9] - Other business segments saw revenue rise by 33% to 5.767 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 3.26%, up 4% year-on-year [2][9] New Business Development - The company is actively expanding its pre-prepared food segment, having established a dedicated team for product development, which has already launched several new products with positive market feedback [3][23] - The company possesses advantages in raw materials, processing, and distribution channels in the pre-prepared food sector, which is expected to enhance profitability [3][23] Financial Forecasts - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 5.305 billion yuan, 5.606 billion yuan, and 5.878 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 16.2, 15.4, and 14.7 [4][23] - Revenue forecasts for 2025 are estimated at 60.304 billion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 1% from the previous year [4][23]