Group 1: Wind Power Industry Outlook - The domestic onshore wind power installation is expected to reach a new high by 2026, while offshore wind power will continue to grow rapidly, driven by both domestic and overseas markets [4] - The wind power sector is anticipated to experience a favorable market driven by both domestic and international demand [5] - By 2028, the domestic onshore wind power market is projected to reach a value of 1,775 billion, while offshore wind power is expected to reach 352 billion [5] Group 2: Wind Turbine Market - The global wind turbine industry is expected to maintain a growth trend from 2024 to 2028, with domestic onshore wind turbines growing at an average rate of 10% annually and offshore wind turbines at 20% [5] - Profitability for domestic onshore wind turbines is projected to grow at an average rate of 45% annually, with 2026 being a significant growth year [5][6] - The overseas onshore wind turbine market is expected to reach a profit of 19.8 billion by 2028, becoming a crucial support for domestic wind turbine companies [5] Group 3: Pile Industry - The offshore wind power pile market is experiencing a favorable environment for international expansion, with significant opportunities in overseas markets [7][11] - The unit value of offshore wind power piles is expected to remain stable over the next three years, despite cost reductions due to larger equipment and increased value from deep-sea developments [7] - European markets offer higher prices and profits for piles compared to domestic markets due to higher raw material and labor costs [8] Group 4: Submarine Cable Market - The offshore wind power submarine cable industry is entering a golden development period, driven by industry upgrades and growing demand both domestically and internationally [12] - Domestic submarine cable companies are expected to see a clear export trend despite facing some restrictions in Europe, as the supply of submarine cables in Europe remains tight [12] - The profit margin for domestic submarine cables is projected to be higher than that of overseas cables, with a CAGR of 42% from 2024 to 2028, reaching 5.7 billion by 2028 [13] Group 5: Market Dynamics and Key Players - By 2026, domestic wind turbine companies will benefit from improved profitability in the domestic market and increased overseas orders, leading to a dual advantage [6] - The domestic offshore wind power market is expected to add 11-15 GW of new installations in 2026, with a growth rate exceeding 40% [22] - Key companies in the sector include Mingyang Smart Energy, which focuses on offshore and overseas strategies, and Hengtong Optic-Electric, which leads in the global submarine cable market [23]

Core Viewpoint - The wind power industry in China is expected to experience significant growth in both onshore and offshore segments, driven by strong domestic demand and increasing overseas orders, particularly in 2026 [5][7]. Group 1: Wind Power Capacity and Trends - In the first ten months of 2025, the newly approved onshore wind power capacity in China reached 113.5 GW, a 74% increase compared to the same period last year, while offshore wind power added 8.1 GW [2]. - The outlook for 2026 indicates that onshore wind power installations are likely to hit new highs, with offshore wind power also maintaining rapid growth, supported by both domestic and international markets [5]. Group 2: Wind Turbine Sector - The wind turbine sector is expected to see a growth rate of 10% annually for domestic onshore turbines and 16% for overseas onshore turbines from 2024 to 2028, with offshore turbine growth rates projected at 20% and 24% respectively [6]. - By 2028, the market value for domestic onshore turbines is anticipated to reach 1,775 billion, while offshore turbines could reach 352 billion [6]. - Profitability for domestic onshore turbines is expected to grow at an average rate of 45% annually, with 2026 being a key growth year [6]. Group 3: Pile Industry - The offshore wind power pile industry is poised for significant opportunities in overseas markets, with domestic leading companies increasing their market share through large-scale production and comprehensive service offerings [12]. - The value of offshore wind power piles is expected to remain stable over the next three years, despite cost reductions from larger equipment and increased value from deep-sea developments [9]. Group 4: Submarine Cable Sector - The offshore wind power submarine cable industry is entering a golden development period, driven by global energy transition and increasing demand [14]. - Domestic submarine cable companies are expected to see a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42% from 2024 to 2028, with market value projected to reach 57 billion by 2028 [14]. - The domestic market for submarine cables is expected to grow at an average rate of 33.19% annually from 2022 to 2025, supported by technological advancements and reduced reliance on imports [16]. Group 5: Key Focus Companies - In the wind turbine sector, Mingyang Smart Energy is highlighted with a market value of 31.322 billion and a PE ratio of 30.50, focusing on offshore and overseas strategies [20]. - In the pile sector, Tianshun Wind Energy has a market value of 11.99 billion and a PE ratio of approximately 173, benefiting from higher profit margins on overseas orders [20]. - In the submarine cable sector, Hengtong Optic-Electric has a market value of 58.61 billion and a PE ratio of 20.71, positioned to benefit from both offshore wind installations and AI-driven demand for optical modules [21].

Core Insights - The wind power industry chain is experiencing significant performance recovery in the first three quarters of 2025, with steady growth in revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders [2][8] - The overall revenue for the wind power industry chain reached 289.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.42%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 14.78 billion yuan, up 21.90% year-on-year [2] Revenue and Profit Performance - In Q3 2025, the total revenue for the industry chain was approximately 110.11 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.92% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.04% [2] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 13.96%, a decrease of 0.95 percentage points year-on-year and 0.74 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Segment Analysis - **Turbine Segment**: Revenue reached 1116.50 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.81%, but net profit decreased by 2.73% to 2.99 billion yuan [3] - **Tower Segment**: Revenue was 182.04 billion yuan, up 55.53% year-on-year, with net profit soaring 96.73% to 1.60 billion yuan [4] - **Submarine Cable Segment**: Revenue grew to 102.27 billion yuan, a 13.69% increase, while net profit slightly declined by 0.61% to 6.10 billion yuan [5] - **Bearing Segment**: Revenue for Q3 2025 was 2.43 billion yuan, a 32.01% increase, with net profit rising significantly by 175.37% to 0.29 billion yuan [6] - **Forging Segment**: Revenue reached 10.75 billion yuan, a 44.14% increase, with net profit growing by 34.45% to 0.99 billion yuan [6] - **Blade Segment**: Revenue was 14.27 billion yuan, a 30.36% increase, with net profit increasing by 143.59% to 0.65 billion yuan [7] Investment Recommendations - The industry is expected to benefit from increased demand for offshore wind projects, which will drive growth in the core segments of turbines, towers, and submarine cables [8] - The overall profitability of the wind power industry chain is anticipated to improve, presenting investment opportunities in leading companies as their performance recovers and valuations rise [8]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperforming the Market," indicating an expected increase in the industry index relative to the broader market by over 10% in the next six months [49]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the wind power industry chain experienced a recovery in performance, with total revenue reaching 179.40 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.35%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.82 billion yuan, up 16.19% year-on-year [1][12]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw continued recovery in performance, with total revenue of approximately 108.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.66% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 54.73% [1][12]. - The overall industry maintained high installation levels, with accelerated offshore project deliveries significantly improving the performance of the industry chain [1][12]. Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - The wind power industry chain's revenue for H1 2025 was 1794.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 29.35%, and net profit of 98.24 billion yuan, up 16.19% [1][12]. - Q2 2025 revenue was approximately 1089.73 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 32.66% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 54.73% [1][12]. Turbine Segment - The turbine segment saw revenue of 678.32 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.94%, while net profit was 21.72 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 3.10% year-on-year [2][20]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 436.88 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 50.02% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 80.95% [2][20]. Tower Segment - The tower segment's revenue for H1 2025 was 108.17 billion yuan, up 59.13% year-on-year, with net profit of 9.94 billion yuan, an increase of 43.60% [3][27]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 69.54 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 74.76% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 80.03% [3][27]. Submarine Cable Segment - The submarine cable segment reported revenue of 646.70 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.60%, but net profit decreased by 3.74% to 39.42 billion yuan [4][34]. - In Q2 2025, revenue was 376.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 13.09% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 39.50% [4][34]. Other Segments - The bearing segment's revenue in H1 2025 was 40.44 billion yuan, up 34.15%, with net profit soaring by 1729.27% to 4.15 billion yuan [9][39]. - The forging segment achieved revenue of 70.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 60.72%, with net profit of 6.56 billion yuan, up 21.89% [40][40]. - The blade segment's revenue in Q2 2025 was 132.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.76%, with net profit of 8.58 billion yuan, up 131.33% [45][45].