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执衡驭势,谋局迎春A股市场观察与12月资配展望
Orient Securities· 2025-12-05 07:15
Market Strategy - The A-share market is currently experiencing adjustments, showing a weak oscillating trend, with expectations not significantly improving and index heights being limited [7] - In December, the overall performance of various asset classes is expected to be stable, with a neutral to slightly bullish outlook on stocks, commodities, and gold, while bonds and US stocks are neutral [7] - The report suggests focusing on mid-cap blue chips, which are undervalued and have lower institutional allocation, as well as sectors with improving marginal prosperity [7] Industry Strategy - The non-ferrous metals and telecommunications sectors are expected to maintain strong performance, while opportunities exist in agriculture and chemicals [4][7] - The industry is undergoing a market-driven and policy-supported capacity reduction phase, with a left-side layout window potentially emerging [7] - The current pig price has dropped to 11 yuan per kilogram, leading to widespread losses in the industry, which is expected to force high-cost production capacity to exit, setting a solid foundation for future price stabilization [7] Thematic Strategy - In agriculture, the accelerated reduction of pig stocks presents a left-side layout opportunity, with expectations of a cyclical rebound once the capacity reduction is solidified [5][7] - The report emphasizes that the valuation of the agriculture sector is at historical lows, indicating a potential entry point for investors [7]
饮料制造板块涨超3%,食品ETF(515710)涨幅为0.48%
news flash· 2025-05-27 01:40
Group 1 - The beverage manufacturing sector has increased by over 3% [1] - The food ETF (515710) has risen by 0.48%, with a trading volume of 1.6779 million yuan, which is a 93.92% increase compared to the same time yesterday [1] - The trading volume has decreased by 61.5 million units over the past month [1] Group 2 - There is a suggestion that purchasing high-priced Moutai can be avoided by investing in ETFs that bundle leading liquor brands [1]