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沪光股份(605333):业绩略低预期,新项目密集落地致短期盈利能力承压
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-10 14:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.838 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.54%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.10% to 425 million yuan. The Q3 revenue fell short of expectations, leading to short-term pressure on profitability. The core business remains stable, and the robotics segment is beginning to show a second growth curve. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 720 million, 990 million, and 1.25 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20.5X, 15.0X, and 11.8X [2][4][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.209 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.5% and a year-on-year increase of 5.8%. However, this performance was below expectations due to fluctuations in sales from key downstream customers. The net profit for Q3 was 148 million yuan, down 19.1% compared to the previous quarter and year [11]. Business Stability and Growth - The core business continues to grow steadily, supported by models such as the Wanjie M8/M9 and the Shangjie H5. The company anticipates significant revenue growth in Q4 due to scale effects. The company is also extending its connector product line to enhance value and has developed a comprehensive solution for high-voltage electrical systems [11]. Robotics Segment - The company has established a dedicated R&D team for robotics harnesses and connectors, successfully providing multiple product series to a leading AI company. The robotics segment is expected to initiate a second growth curve, leveraging the industrial base in areas like Tokunshan and Zhangpu [11]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 720 million, 990 million, and 1.25 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with PE ratios of 20.5X, 15.0X, and 11.8X. The company is recognized as a domestic leader in automotive wiring harnesses [11].