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盛德鑫泰(300881):毛利短期回落盈利承压,高端产品驱动成长可期
Orient Securities· 2025-09-21 03:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 39.41 CNY [2][4] Core Views - The company's gross profit margin has temporarily declined, leading to pressure on profitability, but growth driven by high-end products is expected to continue [1][8] - Adjustments have been made to sales volume and gross profit forecasts, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 190 million, 215 million, and 246 million CNY respectively [2][4] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 1,981 million CNY in 2023 to 3,517 million CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.1% [3][11] - The gross profit margin is expected to fluctuate, with estimates of 15.2% in 2025, 15.4% in 2026, and 15.6% in 2027 [3][11] - The net profit margin is projected to be 6.2% in 2025, 6.5% in 2026, and 7.0% in 2027 [3][11] - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.72 CNY in 2025, 1.95 CNY in 2026, and 2.24 CNY in 2027 [2][3] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company is focusing on high-end stainless steel products, with significant contracts in the power generation sector expected to contribute to revenue [7][8] - The automotive parts sector is being developed as a second growth curve, with a notable increase in revenue from automotive components projected to grow by nearly 250% in 2024 [7][8]