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中泰证券:包装水行业转向价值竞争 头部品牌凭产品矩阵与响应能力抢占先机
智通财经网· 2025-12-06 23:59
Core Insights - The packaging water industry is shifting from a price war to a value war, driven by increasing consumer demand for product quality and specific consumption scenarios [1][6] - The market size for China's packaging water (excluding large packages over 8L) is projected to reach 224.23 billion yuan by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 3% [1] - Leading brands like Nongfu Spring hold a significant market share of 33%, while regional brands like Quan Yang Quan are also showing strong growth due to geographical advantages [1][6] Industry Trends - The competition in the packaging water industry is becoming more multifaceted, with a clear distinction in performance among leading brands and regional players [1] - The price index for packaging water has shown a slight decline, with manufacturers adopting "price for volume" strategies during peak seasons [2] - High-end water products are experiencing rapid growth, with the number of new products priced above 10 yuan expected to increase by 42% in 2025 [2] Channel Dynamics - The channel landscape for packaging water has changed significantly, with specialized channels showing a GMV growth of 13.8% from January to July 2025, while modern channels have seen a decline of 14.2% [3] - Brands are increasingly focusing on discount store channels and developing specialized products to capture market share [3] Future Outlook - The focus on product value and health trends is expected to continue, with consumers seeking functional enhancements in packaging water [4] - The competition is anticipated to shift towards resource-based factors, particularly water sources, as the core competitive advantage in the industry [5] Investment Recommendations - Companies are advised to pay attention to leading brands like Nongfu Spring, which are well-positioned to respond quickly to market demands [6] - Regional brands like Quan Yang Quan are also recommended for their potential to leverage local advantages in the competitive landscape [6]