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芯动联科(688582):大客户订单交付波动致收入增长放缓
HTSC· 2025-10-30 12:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 80.42 CNY [6][4]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 revenue reached 148 million CNY, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.26% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 10.50%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 84.44 million CNY, with a year-over-year increase of 3.43% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 23.21% [1][2]. - The company has seen a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue of 401 million CNY (up 47.73% year-over-year) and net profit of 239 million CNY (up 72.91% year-over-year) [1][2]. - The company is expanding its product applications in various high-end sectors, including industrial, surveying, oil exploration, commercial aerospace, intelligent driving, and high-reliability fields [1][3]. Summary by Sections Q3 Performance Review - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 148 million CNY, a year-over-year increase of 10.26% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 10.50%. The gross margin and net margin were 85.3% and 57.1%, respectively, showing a year-over-year decline of 1.6 and 3.8 percentage points [2]. - The company announced two major orders totaling 434 million CNY for delivery this year, but seasonal fluctuations in delivery schedules have led to a slowdown in revenue and profit growth in Q3 [2]. Outlook for 2H25 - The company is expected to launch new products in 2026, with its MEMS products accelerating penetration into new markets. The company is making progress in high-reliability, commercial aerospace, and autonomous driving sectors [3]. - The product matrix has expanded beyond high-precision gyroscopes to include FM resonant accelerometers and pressure sensors, with plans to introduce a cost-effective six-axis IMU chip for the civilian market in 2026 [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report slightly lowers the revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 9%, 8%, and 5% to 650 million CNY, 970 million CNY, and 1.36 billion CNY, respectively. The net profit forecasts for the same years are adjusted downwards by 9%, 8%, and 5% to 370 million CNY, 500 million CNY, and 690 million CNY [4]. - The target price of 80.42 CNY is based on a 2025 PE ratio of 86X, reflecting a 20% premium over comparable companies' valuation of 71.7X PE [4].