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科德教育(300192):2025年中报点评:教育业务略有下降,战略投资价值凸显
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-27 14:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [7]. Core Viewpoints - The company's education business experienced a slight decline, with total revenue of 365 million yuan, down 1.15% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 53 million yuan, down 15.16% year-on-year [1]. - The ink business showed stable growth, with high-gloss ink revenue increasing by 3.55% year-on-year, while the overall profitability of the ink segment improved [2]. - The company's debt ratio is on a downward trend, with a total asset-liability ratio of 21.53%, down 0.89 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a healthy cash flow situation [3]. - Strategic investment in Zhonghao Xinying, focusing on "AI + Education," is expected to yield positive results, with the company actively developing its AI education platform [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 859 million yuan, 910 million yuan, and 956 million yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.48 yuan, 0.51 yuan, and 0.54 yuan, indicating a positive growth outlook [4][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 365 million yuan, a decrease of 1.15% year-on-year, and a net profit of 53 million yuan, down 15.16% year-on-year [1]. - The company's sales and management expenses increased by 8.80% and 4.68% respectively, contributing to the decline in net profit [1]. Business Segments - The ink business showed resilience, with high-gloss ink revenue reaching 58 million yuan, up 3.55% year-on-year, while other ink products experienced slight declines [2]. - The gross profit margins for high-gloss, high-wear, and fast-drying inks improved, indicating enhanced profitability [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company invested 130 million yuan in Zhonghao Xinying, acquiring a 5.53% stake, and is focusing on AI-driven educational solutions [4]. - The AI education platform, Kede AI Learning, is in its growth phase, with over 30,000 users and ongoing upgrades [4]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 859 million yuan, 910 million yuan, and 956 million yuan, with EPS estimates of 0.48 yuan, 0.51 yuan, and 0.54 yuan respectively [6]. - The dynamic PE ratios for the next three years are projected at 49x, 46x, and 43x, reflecting a favorable valuation trend [4][6].
拆解“翻倍股”科德教育半年报:对上半年亏损过亿元的中昊芯英持股比例再下滑
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-26 15:07
Core Viewpoint - The recent financial performance of Kede Education shows a decline in revenue and net profit, while its investment in the AI chip company Zhonghao Xinying has seen a reduction in ownership percentage, raising concerns about its future growth prospects [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Kede Education reported revenue of 366 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 53.28 million yuan, down 15.16% year-on-year [1]. - The company's revenue has remained relatively stable over the past few years, fluctuating between 350 million to 390 million yuan in the first half of the year, and annual revenue between 770 million to 800 million yuan [9]. Investment in Zhonghao Xinying - Kede Education invested a total of 130 million yuan in Zhonghao Xinying, acquiring an 8.3791% stake, which has since decreased to 5.53% as of August 26, 2025 [3][4]. - The investment has not yielded positive returns, with Kede Education reporting an investment loss of 8.92 million yuan from Zhonghao Xinying in the first half of 2025 [4]. - Zhonghao Xinying, which focuses on AI chip development, reported revenue of 598 million yuan in 2024 but incurred a net loss of 14.4 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [4]. Business Segments - Kede Education's revenue from its vocational and full-time school business was 166 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 3.30% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 41.06% [9]. - The remaining revenue primarily came from its ink business, with high-gloss, high-wear, and quick-drying inks contributing approximately 58.38 million yuan, 46.50 million yuan, and 68.28 million yuan, respectively [9]. Ownership Changes - The actual controller of Kede Education, Wu Xianliang, had previously planned to transfer shares, which would have changed the company's control structure, but the agreement was terminated a month later [9][10].