Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry presents three investment directions: cyclical recovery, growth, and overseas expansion, with a recommendation to focus on industry structure and trends rather than total domestic demand expectations [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The "old-for-new" policy supports domestic demand, with wholesale sales of passenger cars reaching 20.8 million units from January to September, a year-on-year increase of 13.2%, and retail sales at 17 million units, up 9.2% [1] - Exports of passenger cars showed strong performance, with 4.2 million units exported in the same period, a year-on-year increase of 15.6%, and the penetration rate of new energy vehicle exports rising to 40.7% [1] - Domestic new energy retail penetration reached a historical high of 57.8% in September, with domestic brands increasing their market share to 70% [1] Group 2: Passenger Vehicles - The focus for 2026 is on the high-end passenger vehicle market, with expectations of improved product cycles and brand momentum from manufacturers like Hongmeng Zhixing [2] - The competitive landscape is expected to continue optimizing, with new energy exports maintaining good growth [2] - Technological advancements in smart driving (including Robotaxi) and robotics are anticipated to create valuation reshaping opportunities [2] Group 3: Auto Parts - Traditional auto parts leaders are seen as undervalued, with structural performance growth driven by overseas expansion and market optimization [3] - The potential implementation of L2/L3 smart driving policies is expected to create opportunities for high-level smart driving technology and Robotaxi business model expansion [3] - The robotics sector is viewed positively, focusing on supply chain and technology iteration from leading manufacturers like Tesla [3] Group 4: Commercial Vehicles - Commercial vehicles are characterized as undervalued assets with stable returns, with exports showing resilience [4] - Heavy truck exports exceeded expectations, with attention on domestic subsidy continuity and leading companies' performance [4] - The motorcycle export market is noted for its growth sustainability, with a focus on low-valuation leading companies [4] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The investment strategy emphasizes structural growth lines in the context of industry trends, recommending investments in robotics, high-end passenger vehicles, and undervalued auto parts [5] - Specific recommendations include Tesla as a high-probability target in the robotics sector, and leading manufacturers in the passenger vehicle market during low-point expectations [5] - For commercial vehicles, focus on high-quality, undervalued leaders with strong overseas performance and new growth opportunities [5]