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短期基本面未有明显的改善 焦煤期货盘面延续弱势
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-12 06:07
Group 1 - The domestic coal futures market shows a downward trend, with coking coal futures main contract opening at 1038.0 CNY/ton and experiencing a decline of 3.39% by midday, reaching a low of 1020.0 CNY/ton [1] - Mongolia's ER company sold 12,800 tons of Mongolian 3 coking coal at a price of 825 CNY/ton, down by 35 CNY/ton from the previous period, while ETT company's 64,000 tons of coking coal went unsold at a starting price of 71.8 USD/ton [1] - Mongolia aims to export 90 million tons of coal by 2026, with a target of 100 million tons by 2027, which will significantly enhance the capacity of ETT mines and the Gashun Sukhait railway [1] Group 2 - Some regions are experiencing limited supply of coking coal due to production controls and environmental restrictions, while steel mills are reducing production due to profit pressures, leading to decreased demand for coking coal [2] - Short-term outlook for coking coal futures remains weak with no significant improvement in fundamentals, while medium-term supply constraints persist [1][2] - Strategies suggest avoiding long positions temporarily and waiting for market stabilization, with a focus on coking coal spread trading [1]
下游库存累积 焦煤期货呈现弱势格局
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-10 06:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates a weak performance in the coking coal futures market, with the main contract reported at 1123.5 yuan/ton, reflecting a decline of 1.36% as of September 10 [1] - On September 10, ETT Company from Mongolia conducted an online auction for coking coal, with a starting price of 64.8 USD/ton for 6.4 million tons, all sold at the base price, with delivery to be made within 52 days after payment [2] - Shaanxi Coal Industry reported an increase in coal production to 14.30 million tons in August, a year-on-year growth of 5.27%, and a total electricity generation of 5.239 billion kWh, up 15.3% year-on-year [2] Group 2 - According to Ningzheng Futures, the short-term coking coal market is characterized by weak fundamentals, influenced by accumulated downstream inventory and slow demand recovery [3] - Jianxin Futures noted that after a significant correction since mid-August, the dual coking futures have released most of the bullish risks, with limited room for price reduction in the future due to low inventory levels at coking plants and steel mills [3] - The future rebound in the coking coal and coke market is anticipated, although there may be short-term fluctuations, with attention needed on the recovery pace of material profits and the willingness of steel and coking plants to replenish raw material inventories [3]