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【债市观察】资金平稳跨月 关税不确定性主导债市弱势震荡
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 03:02
Group 1 - The central bank has been actively engaging in net liquidity injection operations to maintain a balanced and slightly loose funding environment in the market [1][13] - The 10-year government bond yield fluctuated, reaching a high of 1.73% before retreating to 1.70%, with an overall increase of approximately 1 basis point for the week [1][5] - The upcoming week will see over 1.6 trillion yuan in reverse repos maturing, with a significant decrease in net government bond payments expected [1][6] Group 2 - The yield curve for government bonds showed mixed movements, with the 10-year yield decreasing by 4.96 basis points, while the 30-year yield increased by 0.7 basis points [2][3] - The issuance of interest rate bonds last week totaled 61 issues amounting to 394.21 billion yuan, a significant decrease compared to previous weeks [6] - The upcoming week is set to see the issuance of 32 interest rate bonds totaling 434.89 billion yuan, including 2.76 billion yuan in government bonds [6] Group 3 - The U.S. Treasury market experienced a sell-off in May, with yields across various maturities rising by over 20 basis points, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [7][8] - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting minutes highlighted increased uncertainty regarding the economic outlook, with potential risks of rising unemployment and inflation [11][12] - Analysts suggest that the widening yield spread between 30-year and 10-year U.S. Treasuries reflects concerns over the safety of long-term bonds, with expectations of limited interest in purchasing them unless credible fiscal signals are provided [12]