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漫步者(002351):AI技术赋能耳机,海外渠道拓展打开增长空间
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-04 12:23
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company, with a target price of 16.7 yuan per share [5][14]. Core Insights - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance its headphone products and expand its overseas channels, which opens up growth opportunities. Despite a decline in revenue and net profit in Q3 2025, the company is seeing positive trends in domestic sales and product innovation [2][3][8]. - The company has a strong focus on R&D, with a research expense ratio of 6.98% and a year-on-year increase in R&D spending of 11.70%. This investment is translating into new product launches, such as the LolliClip AI, which features real-time multilingual voice translation [2][8]. - The global market for headphones is growing, with the company achieving a 14.30% year-on-year increase in export revenue in the first half of 2025, driven by enhanced overseas operations and e-commerce channel expansion [3][8]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 32.23 billion yuan, 35.85 billion yuan, and 40.03 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 5.21 billion yuan, 5.92 billion yuan, and 6.58 billion yuan [8][11][14]. - The company’s revenue growth rates are expected to be 9.49% in 2025, 11.24% in 2026, and 11.68% in 2027, with a gross margin of approximately 40.86% to 40.91% during this period [11][12]. - The headphone segment is anticipated to generate revenues of 19.61 billion yuan, 21.27 billion yuan, and 23.19 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with stable gross margins of 40% [13][14]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is recognized as a leading brand in the audio industry, benefiting from the demand for AI-enabled and open-style headphones. Its comprehensive R&D team and strong brand recognition position it well to capitalize on the growth of the smart wearable device market [14][8]. - The company has established a full-spectrum product layout and global channel expansion strategy, which is seen as a core driver of its competitive advantage [2][3].