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中航证券:首次覆盖蔚蓝锂芯给予买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-21 06:59
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the strong growth potential of Weilan Lithium Core (002245) driven by its lithium battery business and strategic positioning in the AI and robotics sectors, leading to a "buy" rating for the stock [1][6]. Business Development - Weilan Lithium Core has three main business segments: LED chips, lithium batteries, and metal logistics, with the lithium battery segment showing significant growth [2]. - In H1 2025, the company reported revenues of 11.90 billion CNY from metal logistics and 8.60 billion CNY from LED, with year-on-year growth of 2.9% and 14.6% respectively [2]. - The lithium battery segment achieved revenues of 15.95 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 44.2%, contributing 42.8% to total revenue [2]. Market Trends - The demand for Battery Backup Units (BBU) is expected to rise significantly due to the rapid advancement of AI technologies, with a projected global market demand of 610 million units by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 51.7% from 2024 to 2030 [3]. - The humanoid robot market is expanding, with expectations of over 100 GWh in lithium battery shipments by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate exceeding 100% from 2025 to 2030 [3]. Technological Advancements - The company is focusing on high-end technology optimization, including the launch of a new high-capacity cylindrical battery and advancements in solid-state battery technology [4]. - The overseas revenue reached 5.03 billion CNY in H1 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 55.4%, indicating strong international market growth [4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, Weilan Lithium Core reported total revenues of 37.27 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 21.6%, and a net profit of 3.33 billion CNY, up 99.1% [5]. - The gross margin improved to 20.8%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.8 percentage points [5]. Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in lithium batteries for electric tools, with ongoing expansion in AI servers and robotics applications, suggesting robust growth potential [6]. - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.3 billion CNY, 10.2 billion CNY, and 13.0 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 26, 21, and 17 [7].