Workflow
4S储能方案
icon
Search documents
国电南瑞(600406):二次设备龙头业绩保持稳健增长
HTSC· 2025-10-31 06:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 28.75 RMB, up from a previous value of 26 RMB [7][5]. Core Insights - The company, as a leader in secondary equipment, is expected to benefit significantly from the construction of new power systems, with steady growth in both domestic and international business [1][3]. - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 385.77 billion RMB, representing an 18.45% year-over-year increase, while net profit was 48.55 billion RMB, up 8.43% year-over-year [2]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 26.47%, a decrease of 2.79 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to a shift in business structure with a higher proportion of lower-margin external business [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 143.33 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 16.65%, but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 6.61%. The net profit for the same period was 19.03 billion RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.81% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 16.24% [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the overall expense ratio was 11.96%, down 1.20 percentage points year-over-year, with specific expense ratios for sales, management, finance, and R&D being 3.91%, 2.49%, -0.41%, and 5.98%, respectively [2]. Business Development - The company is experiencing steady growth in grid investment, with a reported 437.8 billion RMB in basic construction investment in China's power grid for the first nine months of 2025, a 9.9% year-over-year increase [3]. - The company has successfully expanded its international business, with overseas revenue reaching 19.87 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a 139.18% year-over-year increase, and international contracts growing by over 200% [4]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 83.31 billion RMB, 91.98 billion RMB, and 101.61 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.04 RMB, 1.15 RMB, and 1.27 RMB [5][11]. - The report highlights the company's strong technological advantages and its prominent position as a leader in secondary equipment, justifying a valuation of 25 times PE for 2026 [5].