553#工业硅
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建信期货工业硅日报-20251029
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-10-29 02:13
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply - demand imbalance in the industrial silicon market has not been reversed. Enterprises have insufficient willingness to cut production actively. In October, the supply was over 400,000 tons, while the demand was generally stable. The loose supply - demand situation led to a lack of inventory reduction drivers. The expected support in the fourth quarter mainly lies in the cost increase in Southwest China and active production cuts, but the effectiveness of the positive effects remains to be seen. The industrial silicon has limited strong drivers, and the price of the main contract will fluctuate under pressure [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Outlook - **Market Performance**: The price of industrial silicon futures fluctuated, showing a pattern of strengthening first and then weakening. The closing price of Si2601 was 8,955 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.28%. The trading volume was 261,087 lots, and the open interest was 211,670 lots, with a net increase of 10,152 lots [4]. - **Spot Price**: The price range of 553 industrial silicon was 8,800 - 9,300 yuan/ton, and that of 421 was 9,550 - 9,950 yuan/ton [5]. - **Market Outlook**: The supply - demand imbalance persists. The supply in October was over 400,000 tons, and the demand was stable. The market lacks inventory reduction drivers. The expected support in Q4 is from cost increase in Southwest China and active production cuts, but the positive effects are uncertain. The main contract price will fluctuate under pressure due to limited drivers and continuous increase in net short positions in the 2601 contract [5]. 3.2 Market News - On October 28, the number of futures warehouse receipts on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was 48,044 lots, a net decrease of 141 lots compared to the previous trading day. From January to September, the export volume of industrial silicon was 491,400 tons, with a cumulative year - on - year increase of 1.55%, and the monthly average export volume was 61,500 tons. In September, the export volume decreased slightly. The export volume in August was 70,232.72 tons, a decrease of 8.36% from the previous month, and a year - on - year increase of 7.73% [6].
建信期货工业硅日报-20251024
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-10-24 01:51
油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 硅)028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 行业 日期 2025 年 10 月 24 日 工业硅日报 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料 研究员:任俊弛(PTA/MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(工业硅/多晶 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与展望 ...
建信期货工业硅日报-20251023
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-10-23 02:42
工业硅日报 油) 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 硅)028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03134307 行业 日期 2025 年 10 月 23 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油燃料 研究员:任俊弛(PTA/MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(工业硅/多晶 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 后市展望(仅供参考):工业硅企业主动减产意愿不足, ...