Core Viewpoint - Meta Platforms' stock may be nearing a critical point before a potential deeper correction, as indicated by technical analysis suggesting a loss of upside momentum since its all-time high in August 2025 [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price remains supported by the weekly 100-period moving average, which has prevented a sharper decline, marking it as the last major support level before the risk of a broader bear cycle increases [2] - The monthly relative strength index has shown bearish divergence since July 2025, indicating weakened momentum despite previous price increases, similar to patterns observed before significant declines in 2018 and 2022 [3] - Historical data suggests that a break below the weekly 100 moving average could lead to declines towards the monthly 50 moving average, with potential losses of approximately 44% in 2018 and 40% in 2022 [4] Price Targets and Predictions - If the bearish trend continues, the next downside target for Meta stock could be around $480, aligning with the monthly 50 moving average and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level [4] - In a potential intensified bear cycle, the stock could drop to the monthly 100 moving average and the 1.236 Fibonacci extension around $360, indicating a possible decline of about 55.8% [6] Company Developments - On February 24, Meta announced a multi-year partnership with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) to deploy up to 6 gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs for its AI infrastructure, marking one of the largest chip supply deals to date [7] - Meta's capital expenditure guidance for 2026 is projected to be between $115 billion and $135 billion, primarily focused on AI data centers, despite concerns over high capital spending [11] Stock Performance - As of the latest session, Meta's stock closed at $639.30, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 3% amid concerns regarding capital expenditures [8] - Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on Meta, with a 'Strong Buy' consensus on TipRanks, supported by 39 buy recommendations and an average 12-month price target of $864.62, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 35% from the current price [11][13]