Core Viewpoint - ASML's market value has decreased by over $130 billion (approximately 936.5 billion RMB) in less than a year due to export restrictions to China and uncertainties regarding U.S. tariffs [1][2]. Group 1: Market Impact - ASML's stock price reached a historical high of over €1000 per share in July last year, with a market capitalization of $429.5 billion, but has since fallen to just below $297 billion [1]. - The semiconductor sector has been volatile since last year, primarily due to increased U.S. restrictions on chip exports to China and tariff threats from the Trump administration [1][2]. - All equipment manufacturers in the semiconductor field have seen their stock prices decline, reflecting concerns over U.S. restrictions on China [1]. Group 2: ASML's Position and Future Outlook - ASML is considered a crucial player in the semiconductor supply chain, known for its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography equipment, which is essential for producing advanced chips [2]. - The company has begun shipping its next-generation high numerical aperture (High NA) equipment, but has not been able to ship its most advanced lithography machines to China, limiting potential sales [2]. - ASML's CEO expects that the company's business in China will account for a lower percentage of revenue in 2025 compared to 2023 and 2024 [2]. Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - Despite external pressures, analysts remain relatively optimistic about ASML, with an average target price of slightly above €779, indicating a potential increase of about 17% from the recent closing price [3]. - Wells Fargo analysts expressed optimism about ASML's growth opportunities in 2025 and 2026, highlighting investments from companies like Samsung and Intel in next-generation chip manufacturing tools [3].