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速腾聚创(2498.HK):Q2毛利率继续提升 EMX有望快速放量
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-25 03:11
Core Viewpoint - The company, SUTENG JUCHUANG, reported a revenue of 783 million yuan for the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year growth of 7.72% with significant improvements in Q2 performance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2, the company achieved a revenue of 460 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24.4%, indicating a recovery from previous customer transitions [1] - The gross margin for Q2 reached 27.7%, the highest in three years, with the ADAS segment gross margin at 19.4% [1] - The company expects to achieve breakeven in Q4, driven by increased demand for lidar in intelligent driving and robotics [1] Group 2: ADAS Business - The EMX product has secured more market orders, with expectations for large-scale deliveries by the end of Q3 [2] - The company delivered 124,000 lidar units in Q2, a slight increase from 118,000 units in the same period last year, with reduced negative impacts from customer transitions [2] - The EM platform has gained traction, with 30 OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers securing 119 model designations [2] Group 3: Robotics Business - The company experienced a peak in robot lidar shipments, delivering 34,400 units in Q2 compared to 5,000 units in the same period last year, driven by price reductions and increased applications [3] - The company has received orders from eight major Robotaxi and Robobus clients, including leading firms in the industry [3] - The AC series of active cameras has received positive market feedback, with plans for a launch in the second half of 2025 [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 2.4 billion, 3.73 billion, and 5.14 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a slight adjustment due to customer transitions [3] - The company anticipates continued improvement in gross margins, with net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 adjusted to -150 million, 190 million, and 510 million yuan respectively [3] - A target price of 48.17 HKD is set based on a comparable company average of 8.9X 2025 PS, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]