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瑞士百达资管雷德玮:AI驱动量化投资进入2.0时代
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-29 00:41
Core Viewpoint - The rise of AI-driven quantitative strategies is transforming investment approaches, allowing for the identification of complex relationships in data that traditional methods cannot capture [1][4]. Group 1: AI Quantitative Strategies - AI quantitative models can analyze hundreds of high-frequency signals, uncovering non-linear relationships in data, which enhances predictive accuracy compared to traditional models that rely on a limited number of factors [1][7]. - The AI quantitative strategy developed by Swiss Bank Asset Management focuses on around 400 high-frequency signals, contrasting with the typical 20 signals used in traditional quantitative strategies [7]. - The AI model's ability to learn complex relationships allows it to improve the prediction of stock price movements based on analyst ratings and other signals [6][8]. Group 2: Market Expansion and Interest - Global capital interest in the Chinese market is on the rise, with plans to include A-shares in AI quantitative strategies as they expand into emerging markets [4][5]. - The firm is currently exploring the potential of AI-driven strategies for domestic investors in China, contingent on obtaining additional QDLP quotas [5][6]. Group 3: Investment Strategy and Risk Management - The investment horizon for Swiss Bank Asset Management's AI strategies is approximately 20 days, differing from many competitors that focus on ultra-short holding periods [8]. - To mitigate overfitting risks, the firm employs methods such as using economically sound signals, integrating numerous simple models, and utilizing extensive historical data for training [8]. Group 4: Role of Fund Managers - The role of fund managers is evolving with the integration of AI, shifting from model building to training AI models and validating their outputs while still conducting factor research [8].
瑞士百达资管雷德玮: AI驱动量化投资进入2.0时代
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-28 22:23
Core Insights - AI-driven quantitative investment strategies are evolving, moving from traditional models that rely on a limited number of factors to more advanced models that can identify hundreds of high-frequency signals and non-linear relationships in data [1][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - Swiss Bank Asset Management, part of the Swiss Bank Group with a 220-year history, has an asset management scale of 711 billion Swiss Francs as of June 30, 2025 [2]. - The quantitative investment team led by David Wright manages $25 billion, with plans to expand AI quantitative strategies into emerging markets, including A-shares in China [2][3]. Group 2: Market Interest and Strategy - Global capital interest in China is recovering, with plans to include A-shares in AI quantitative strategies as the team develops a version for emerging markets [2][3]. - The current AI quantitative strategy products are primarily focused on developed markets, tracking the MSCI World Index, but there is a push to include A-shares in the future [2][3]. Group 3: AI Model Adaptability - AI models can adapt to the Chinese market, with backtesting showing that identified signal relationships are transferable to emerging markets, including China [3]. - The potential for excess returns in emerging markets is higher than in developed markets, although trading costs are also higher [3]. Group 4: AI Application in Stock Ratings - AI models can enhance the predictive power of stock ratings by incorporating various signals, such as the timing of earnings reports, to improve decision-making [4][5]. - Traditional quantitative methods typically use around 20 company-level signals, while Swiss Bank's AI strategy utilizes approximately 400 high-frequency signals [5]. Group 5: Differentiation in AI Strategies - Swiss Bank's AI quantitative strategy focuses on a holding period of about 20 days, contrasting with many competitors that prefer shorter holding periods [5][6]. - The strategy emphasizes factor neutrality, maintaining balanced exposure across various investment styles without overexposing to any single factor [5][6]. Group 6: Mitigating Overfitting Risks - The company employs several methods to mitigate overfitting risks in AI models, including using economically sound signals, integrating numerous simple models, and applying cross-validation techniques [6]. - The role of fund managers is evolving, shifting from model building to training AI models and conducting factor research, while still maintaining oversight of model outputs and portfolio construction [6][7].
AI驱动量化投资进入2.0时代
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-28 20:46
Core Insights - The article discusses the advancements in AI-driven quantitative investment strategies led by David Wright at Swiss Bank Asset Management, highlighting the transition to a 2.0 era of quantitative investing through enhanced computational power and open-source tools [1][2]. Group 1: AI Quantitative Strategies - AI quantitative models can identify hundreds of high-frequency signals and uncover non-linear relationships in data, surpassing traditional quantitative methods that rely on a limited number of factors [1][5]. - The AI quantitative strategy team at Swiss Bank Asset Management manages $25 billion, with plans to expand into emerging markets, including A-shares in China [2][3]. - The interest of global capital in the Chinese market is on the rise, with potential AI quantitative strategies targeting A-shares expected to launch next year [2][3]. Group 2: Market Adaptation and Performance - AI models have shown that the signal relationships identified can be generalized across countries, indicating that these models can be adapted to the Chinese market [3][4]. - Emerging markets may offer higher potential excess returns compared to developed markets, although trading costs are also higher, leading to similar overall excess returns relative to benchmarks [3][4]. - The integration of fundamental signals alongside emotional and price signals in emerging markets has been found to enhance model performance [3][4]. Group 3: Differentiation and Risk Management - Swiss Bank Asset Management's AI quantitative strategy focuses on a holding period of approximately 20 days, contrasting with many competitors that prefer shorter holding periods [5][6]. - The firm emphasizes the use of traditional data for model training, covering longer historical periods, and maintaining factor neutrality across various investment styles [5][6]. - To mitigate overfitting risks, the company employs economically sound signals, integrates numerous simple models for training, and utilizes a cross-validation method with 15 years of data [6]. Group 4: Evolving Role of Fund Managers - The role of fund managers is evolving with the rise of AI in quantitative investing, shifting from model building to training AI models and validating outputs [6]. - Fund managers will continue to conduct factor research and oversee investment portfolio construction, maintaining the same number of personnel despite changes in responsibilities [6].