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微博-SW(09898.HK):2Q25收入符合预期 AI应用持续渗透
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-16 19:41
Core Viewpoint - The company reported 2Q25 revenue of $445 million, a 1.6% year-on-year increase, meeting expectations, while Non-GAAP net profit reached $143 million, exceeding both company and market forecasts [1] Revenue and Growth Trends - Advertising and marketing revenue in 2Q25 increased by 2% to $383 million, driven by demand from e-commerce advertisers [1] - Revenue from Alibaba's advertising and marketing grew by 10% due to increased marketing demand during the 618 shopping festival [1] - The e-commerce sector saw a year-on-year revenue increase in 2Q25, while the automotive sector maintained advertising spending on Weibo, covering over 60% of new energy vehicle launches in 1H25 [1] - Consumer goods advertisers showed significant interest in Weibo for new products, celebrity endorsements, and IP marketing, with both revenue and project numbers growing by double digits year-on-year [1] - Information flow bidding ads experienced year-on-year growth, particularly from performance-driven e-commerce clients, with plans to expand customer coverage in 3Q25 [2] Future Outlook - For 3Q25, the company anticipates challenges in the fast-moving consumer goods sector due to high base effects from last year's Olympic marketing events, but aims to capitalize on advertising opportunities in e-commerce, automotive, and healthcare sectors [2] - The monthly active users (MAU) of the AI search feature surpassed 50 million in June, with plans for commercialization testing in 4Q25 and beyond [2] - The company has integrated AI capabilities into its advertising products, with a focus on enhancing user experience and search result effectiveness [2] Cost Structure and Profitability - General and administrative expenses in 2Q25 decreased by 70% to $7.96 million, primarily due to the recovery of a previously written-off bad debt [3] - The sales expense ratio declined by 1 percentage point to 24.7%, continuing the trend of cost structure optimization [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has lowered its Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 3% to $482 million and $491 million, respectively [3] - Current trading multiples are 5/5x for Hong Kong stocks and 6/6x for U.S. stocks based on 2025/2026 Non-GAAP P/E ratios, with target prices set at HKD 100.8 and USD 13, indicating potential upside of 14% for U.S. stocks and 23% for Hong Kong stocks [3]