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ASMPT(00522.HK):AI需求强劲 传统产品得益于客户提前备货
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-26 03:38
Core Viewpoint - Company ASMPT reported better-than-expected orders for Q2 2025, but profit improvement fell short of expectations, with revenue of HKD 3.4 billion (USD 436 million), a year-on-year increase of 1.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.9% [1] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue was HKD 3.4 billion (USD 436 million), with a gross margin of 39.7%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.33 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.19 percentage points [1] - Profit for Q2 2025 was HKD 1.34 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 62.5%, primarily influenced by a one-time tax credit [1] - New orders in Q2 2025 totaled USD 482 million, exceeding expectations [1] Business Segmentation - In H1 2025, 30% of revenue came from computer terminals, up from 7% in the same period of 2024, while automotive electronics accounted for 15%, down from 24% in 2024 [2] - Semiconductor revenue in Q2 2025 was USD 258 million, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1% and a year-on-year increase of 20.9%, although orders decreased by 4.5% quarter-on-quarter and 4.6% year-on-year [2] - SMT business received USD 269 million in orders in Q2 2025, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.4% and a year-on-year increase of 51.2% [2] Growth Outlook - The company is experiencing growth in HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) and advanced logic, with TCB (Thermal Compression Bonding) orders increasing by 50% year-on-year in H1 2025 [1] - The company has completed equipment installations for major clients in the HBM sector and has begun small-scale production for HBM4 [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company raised its revenue forecast for 2025 by 2% to HKD 14.238 billion but lowered its profit forecast by 21% to HKD 988 million [2] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 26.6x for 2025 and 16.8x for 2026, with a target price of HKD 72, indicating a potential upside of 14% from the current price [2]