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明源云(00909):港股公司信息更新报告:收入仍有承压,但利润如期改善,关注AI+出海放量
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-28 14:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing revenue pressure, but profits are gradually improving. The focus on AI and overseas expansion is becoming clearer, leading to a positive outlook despite current challenges in the real estate market [5][6] - Revenue estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised down to 1.29 billion, 1.24 billion, and 1.29 billion RMB respectively, reflecting year-on-year changes of -10.3%, -3.8%, and +4.4%. However, net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 40 million and 80 million RMB, respectively [5][6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for 2023 was 1.64 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decline of 9.7%. The projected revenue for 2025 is 1.29 billion RMB, reflecting a further decline of 10.3% [8] - The net profit for 2023 was -586 million RMB, with a projected net profit of 43 million RMB for 2025, indicating a significant turnaround [8] - The gross margin is expected to be stable at around 80.6% from 2025 to 2027, while the net margin is projected to improve from 3.3% in 2025 to 8.5% in 2027 [8] - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is estimated at 5.5 for 2025, indicating a valuation that reflects the company's growth potential despite current market pressures [8]