J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Equity Research 19 November 2025 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. We are raising our FY25-27E forecasts for Sanhua by 20% on average, factoring in the 3Q25 beat and lift in management guidance. Our Global TMT confe ...

Regal Rexnord Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Regal Rexnord - **CEO**: Louis Pinkham - **CFO**: Rob Rehard - **Focus**: Transformation over six years, improving margins and free cash flow, and building a stronger portfolio [2][3] Key Industry Segments 1. **Automation**: - Focus on robotics, including cobots, AGVs, surgical robotics, and humanoids - $30 million in humanoid-related orders booked this year with a $100 million bid pipeline [4] 2. **Aerospace**: - Business valued at approximately $350 million, includes servo motors, actuators, and seals - Partnership with Honeywell for electromechanical actuators for EVTOL aircraft [5] 3. **Data Center**: - Significant growth with a business expected to grow from $30 million to $130 million in two years - $195 million in recent data center wins and a $400 million EPOD bid pipeline [6][7] 4. **Medical**: - Products enable high-precision motion critical for robotic surgeries and lab testing devices [7] Financial Performance and Growth - **Order Growth**: - 10% orders growth reported, with backlogs up 6% in IPS, 15% in AMC, and 18% shippable in Q4 [12] - Anticipated low- to mid-single digit growth for the next year [18] - **Free Cash Flow**: - Expected to increase from $625 million to $900 million, driven by top-line growth, working capital improvements, and reduced cash interest and restructuring expenses [21] - **Gross Margins**: - Current gross margins at 38%, expected to reach 40% by 2026 [17][39] Strategic Initiatives - **Cross-Selling Opportunities**: - Only 20% of customers currently buy multiple products, with a target of $175 million in cross-sell by 2025 [16] - **R&D Investment**: - Increased from 2% to 3% of sales, focusing on technology and differentiation [17] - **Tariff Management**: - Expecting to be tariff cost neutral by mid-next year, with a focus on sourcing rare earth materials outside of China [24][25] Market Dynamics - **Challenges**: - ResiHVAC segment facing a high single-digit decline, but overall PES expected to remain flat [19][40] - Discrete automation growth slower than anticipated, with a correlation to ISM [45] - **Positive Signals**: - Backlog growth in IPS and positive trends in metals, mining, and oil and gas sectors [48] Future Outlook - **Growth Drivers**: - Continued focus on automation, aerospace, data center, and medical technology as key growth areas [8] - Anticipated recovery in factory automation and potential for significant growth in data center projects [26][27] - **AI Utilization**: - AI being leveraged for efficiency and productivity improvements, with a focus on managing supplier relationships and inventory [53][54] Conclusion - Regal Rexnord is well-positioned for growth across multiple strategic markets, with a strong focus on innovation, cross-selling, and operational efficiency. The company anticipates continued improvement in financial performance and market share expansion in the coming years.

Summary of the Conference Call on Humanoid Robot Supply Chain Industry Overview - The conference focused on the humanoid robot supply chain, involving nine companies including Sanhua, Tuopu, Rongtai, Shuanghuan, Minth, Joyson, Zhaowei, Best Precision, and Shuanglin [1][4][5] Key Takeaways Capacity Planning and Production - Most suppliers are actively planning capacity in China and overseas (primarily Thailand) to support potential mass production of humanoid robots, with current capacity planning ranging from approximately 100,000 to 1 million robot equivalent units per year [4][5] - Companies are optimistic about industry growth, with a global humanoid robot shipment forecast of 1.38 million units by 2035 [4] - Suppliers are broadening their product portfolios from single components to integrated modules, targeting ambitious market share gains [4] Company-Specific Insights - **Sanhua**: Maintains over 50% market share in actuator assemblies, focusing on a single leading global customer for now [9] - **Tuopu**: Plans to establish humanoid-related production capacity in Thailand, Mexico, and the U.S., with an annual capacity of 1 million units in Thailand, contingent on customer demand [9] - **Rongtai**: Emphasizes precision machining capabilities and aims to secure a position as a supplier for North American customers, with plans to increase capacity by 2025 [10] - **Minth**: Targets RMB 5 billion in humanoid-related revenue by 2030, with a completed production line for head and face assemblies expected to start commercial production in Q1 2026 [13] - **Joyson**: Focuses on head assembly and anticipates production ramp-up after Q2 next year, pending customer orders [15] - **Zhaowei**: Offers micro hardware components for humanoid robots and expects RMB 100 million revenue from dexterous hand-related business in 2026 [16] - **Best Precision**: Currently has limited sales contribution from humanoid applications, mainly from sampling demand [18] - **Shuanglin**: Plans to expand capacity for planetary roller screws, with a current capacity of 12,000 units for initial samples [20] Market Dynamics - Companies are showcasing technical capabilities and scalable production readiness as key competitive edges [4] - The ecosystem is evolving with companies eager to expand into robotics components to find new growth engines [4] - The competitive landscape includes various technologies for reduction gears, with companies exploring innovative solutions to enhance performance [15] Future Outlook - Key checkpoints include the Tesla Optimus Gen 3 launch by February/March 2026 and public disclosure of order/shipment targets by the end of 2025 [5] - The overall sentiment remains constructive on the long-term humanoid robot technology trend, with a need to monitor product performance and application developments [5] Additional Important Points - The conference highlighted the importance of collaboration among companies and the need for flexibility in production planning based on customer demand [9][10] - Companies are focusing on developing low-cost production equipment to reduce reliance on overseas equipment [18] - The anticipated growth in the humanoid robot market is driving companies to innovate and adapt their strategies to secure market share [4][5]

Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue reached $143 million, reflecting an 8% increase compared to Q3 2024[7] - Adjusted Gross Margin was 38.9% in Q3 2025, a 66 bps increase from Q3 2024[7, 38] - Adjusted Diluted EPS was $0.60 in Q3 2025, a (2)% decrease compared to Q3 2024[7] Segment Performance - Diversified end markets (industrial, aerospace & defense, and medical) saw a 22% revenue increase year-over-year and accounted for 59% of total revenue[10, 38] - Transportation end market revenue decreased by (7)% year-over-year due to lower commercial vehicle sales[10, 38] - Total booked business in transportation was approximately $1 billion at the end of Q3 2025[25] End Market Highlights - Medical Q3 sales were $22 million, up 22% year-over-year, with bookings up 8%[17] - Aerospace & Defense Q3 sales were $25 million, up 23% year-over-year, with bookings up 29%[17] - Industrial Q3 sales were $37 million, up 21% year-over-year, with bookings up 29%[25] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - Generated $29 million in operating cash flow in Q3 2025[10] - Free cash flow YTD 2025 was $60 million[40] - Cash returned to shareholders YTD 2025 totaled $44 million[40]

Core Insights - CTS Corporation reported strong growth in the third quarter of 2025, with sales increasing by 22% year-over-year in diversified end markets, while overall sales rose by 8% to $143 million [2][7] - The company emphasized diversification as a strategic priority to enhance growth and margin expansion [2] - For 2025, CTS has narrowed its sales guidance to a range of $535-$545 million and adjusted diluted EPS to between $2.20 and $2.25, assuming current market conditions persist [3] Financial Performance - Net income for Q3 2025 was $14 million, representing 9.6% of sales, which included a $4.2 million charge related to an EPA claim [7] - Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.60, slightly down from $0.61 in Q3 2024, while diluted EPS decreased to $0.46 from $0.59 in the same period [7][25] - Adjusted gross margin improved to 38.9% from 38.2% year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 23.8% from 24.4% [7][23] Market Segments - Sales to diversified end markets, which include industrial, aerospace & defense, and medical sectors, saw a significant increase of 22% [7][8] - Conversely, sales to the transportation end market experienced a decline of 7% [7] Cash Flow and Expenses - Operating cash flow for Q3 2025 was reported at $29 million, down from $35 million in Q3 2024 [7] - The company incurred selling, general, and administrative expenses of $27.2 million, up from $22.5 million year-over-year [7][12] Balance Sheet Highlights - As of September 30, 2025, total assets were $790.4 million, an increase from $765.4 million at the end of 2024 [15] - Current assets rose to $276.2 million, compared to $242.2 million in the previous year [15] Future Outlook - CTS Corporation's management remains optimistic about the company's growth trajectory, driven by its focus on diversification and solid execution in challenging market conditions [2][3]

Core Thesis - TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is viewed positively due to its strong market position in specialized aircraft components, resilient aftermarket sales, and effective M&A strategy [1][5]. Company Overview - TDG designs and manufactures specialized aircraft components, with approximately 75% of sales being sole-source and about 90% proprietary products, ensuring strong pricing power and recurring revenue [2]. - The company derives roughly half of its revenue from aftermarket spare and replacement parts, which contributes to its durable demand [2]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, TDG experienced a mixed performance: commercial OEM revenue declined by approximately 7% year-over-year, while commercial aftermarket revenue grew by about 6%, driven by double-digit growth in engine content and distributor sales [3]. - Defense revenues increased by 13% across OEM and aftermarket channels, showcasing strength in this segment [3]. - EBITDA margins improved to 54.4%, with organic growth of 6.3%, operating cash flow exceeding $630 million, and a cash balance near $2.8 billion [3]. Leadership and Strategic Moves - Leadership transitions include CEO Kevin Stein's retirement and COO Mike Lisman taking over as CEO, indicating depth in management [4]. - TDG completed the acquisition of Servotronics for $138 million and agreed to acquire Simmonds Precision for $765 million, expected to add approximately $350 million in revenue in CY25 [4]. Future Outlook - FY25 guidance anticipates revenue of $8.79 billion, EBITDA of $4.725 billion, EPS of $36.74, and free cash flow around $2.3 billion [4]. - The company has repurchased over 400,000 shares year-to-date and declared a special dividend of $90 per share, funded via debt [4]. - TDG is considered a compelling long-term investment opportunity, particularly if shares trade below $1,200 [4].

Core Viewpoint - CTS Corporation is set to release its third quarter 2025 earnings on October 28, 2025, at 8:00 a.m. (ET) [1] Earnings Release Information - The earnings conference call will take place on October 28, 2025, at 10:00 a.m. (ET) [2] - Dial-in numbers for the conference call include +1-833-470-1428 (Toll-Free) and +1-646-844-6383 (Local) for U.S. callers, with additional global dial-in numbers available for international participants [2] Webcast Details - A live audio webcast of the conference call will be accessible from the Investors section of CTS Corporation's website and will be archived for one year [3] Company Overview - CTS Corporation is a leading designer and manufacturer of products that Sense, Connect, and Move, producing sensors, actuators, and electronic components across North America, Europe, and Asia [4] - The company serves various markets including aerospace/defense, industrial, medical, and transportation [4]

Summary of the Conference Call on China Electric Motor Suppliers Industry Overview - The report focuses on the electric motor supply industry in China, specifically covering **Johnson Electric** and **Wolong Electric** as key players in the sector [2][8][9]. Core Insights and Arguments Company Ratings and Price Targets - **Johnson Electric** is rated **Overweight (OW)** with a price target of **HK$67**, indicating an **82% potential upside** from current levels [3][31]. - **Wolong Electric** is rated **Neutral** with a price target of **Rmb43**, suggesting a **10% potential downside** [3][31]. Growth Drivers 1. **AI Data Centers**: - Johnson and Wolong are expanding into liquid cooling components, with a total addressable market (TAM) projected at **Rmb4 billion** for EC motors, **Rmb6 billion** for direct-to-chip cooling pumps, and **Rmb12 billion** for cold plates by 2026 [24][34]. - The shift from air to liquid cooling is driven by the increasing power density of AI servers, creating significant opportunities for both companies [34][35]. 2. **Humanoid Robotics**: - The global TAM for humanoid robotics is estimated at **5 billion units**. Johnson focuses on integrated actuators with higher content per humanoid, while Wolong has a broader reach with lighter-duty solutions [26][43][45]. - The dollar content per robot is approximately **Rmb106k** for Johnson and **Rmb76k** for Wolong, indicating substantial potential earnings upside [26][44]. 3. **eVTOL (Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing)**: - The domestic eVTOL market in China is expected to reach **5,000 units/year by 2035**. Wolong is more exposed in this area, partnering with Geely's AeroFugia [27][28]. Valuation Insights - Johnson is seen as undervalued, trading at **16x CY26E P/E** compared to Wolong's **52x CY26E P/E**, despite similar earnings growth projections [5][31]. - The report suggests that Johnson's growth potential in AI cooling and robotics remains underappreciated, while Wolong's valuation reflects its current growth trajectory [17][31]. Near-term Catalysts - For **Johnson Electric**: - Tesla Optimus pilot hand validation (1H26) - AI cooling architecture developments - Participation in humanoid forums [5]. - For **Wolong Electric**: - Humanoid targets from Zhiyuan/Lenovo (end-25) - AeroFugia eVTOL certification (1H26) - HKEX IPO filing (1Q26) [5]. Other Important Insights - The report emphasizes the structural opportunity driven by secular demand in the electric motor supply chain, with both companies emerging as critical partners in high-growth verticals [8][22]. - The competitive landscape is evolving, with both Johnson and Wolong positioned to capture significant market share as demand for high-performance motor solutions increases [22][39]. Conclusion - The analysis indicates a positive outlook for the electric motor supply industry in China, with Johnson Electric positioned for substantial upside due to its undervaluation and growth potential in emerging sectors like AI cooling and humanoid robotics, while Wolong Electric's valuation appears to already reflect its growth prospects.

Summary of Conference Call on Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Company Overview - **Company**: Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls - **Ticker**: 2050 HK (H-shares), 002050 CH (A-shares) - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately $18.2 billion for A-shares and $17.3 billion for H-shares as of September 11, 2025 [6][49] Core Industry Insights - **Industry**: Robotics, Refrigeration, and Automotive Parts - **Key Growth Drivers**: - Expansion in humanoid robotics - Leadership in refrigeration and EV thermal management - Data center liquid cooling solutions Key Financial Metrics - **Price Target**: - H-shares: HK$41 (implying ~30% upside) [2][8] - A-shares: Rmb43 [2][8] - **Earnings Growth**: Projected 15% EPS CAGR over FY26-27E [2][8] - **Revenue Growth**: - Refrigeration: 20-30% Y/Y - Auto Parts: 20% Y/Y [20][52] Strategic Developments - **Humanoid Robot Business**: - Dedicated robotics unit established in Thailand, with initial orders from global OEMs like Tesla [5][52] - Targeting Rmb500 million in robot revenue by FY27 as a validation of growth potential [5][52] - **Data Center Liquid Cooling**: - Generating approximately Rmb1 billion in revenue in FY24, with significant growth potential [21][52] Operational Highlights - **Manufacturing Capacity**: - Approximately 30% of manufacturing capacity located overseas, aiding in cost management and pricing negotiations [20][22] - **Customer Diversification**: - Largest customer contribution decreased from 35% to 29% Y/Y, indicating improved customer mix and reduced volatility [20][52] Risks and Challenges - **Market Risks**: - Potential slowdown in domestic home appliance and EV sales in 2H25 due to reduced government subsidies and market saturation [23][24] - **Tesla Dependency**: - Revenue exposure to Tesla has decreased, with management downplaying its significance compared to historical levels [24][52] - **Lock-up Period**: - First lock-up period for H-shares expires on December 23, 2025, which may lead to share price volatility [26] Investment Thesis - **Positive Drivers**: - Benefits from China's policy stimulus for large-scale equipment renewal in home appliances and autos [55][60] - Diversified customer portfolio supporting auto parts business growth [55][60] - Strategic positioning in the humanoid robot market [55][60] - **Valuation Methodology**: - Discounted cash flow (DCF) model with a WACC of 8.1% and terminal growth rate of 3.5% [9][61] Conclusion - **Outlook**: - The company is positioned for above-industry growth driven by its humanoid robot business and strong performance in refrigeration and auto parts. Monitoring key operational metrics will be crucial for assessing the investment thesis moving forward [10][52]

Core Insights - Regal Rexnord Corporation reported strong performance in Q2 2025, with sales and earnings slightly exceeding expectations, driven by growth in the PES segment and margin expansion in IPS despite market challenges [3][5][12] - The company has updated its annual guidance for GAAP diluted earnings per share to a range of $4.50 to $5.10 and adjusted diluted earnings per share to a range of $9.70 to $10.30, with mitigation actions in place to counteract tariff impacts [5][21] - The company ended Q2 with a $300 million cross-sell opportunity funnel and is on track to realize $170 million of cross-sell synergies this year, aiming for $250 million by 2027 [3][5] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 net sales were $1,496.1 million, a decrease of 3.3% compared to the previous year, with organic sales down 1.2% [11][12] - GAAP net income for Q2 2025 was $79.6 million, up from $63.0 million in Q2 2024, with adjusted EBITDA of $329.7 million [11][19] - The adjusted diluted earnings per share for Q2 2025 was $2.48, an increase of 8.3% compared to the previous year [11][19] Segment Performance - The PES segment achieved net sales of $435.2 million, reflecting a 5.9% increase, driven by strong performance in residential and commercial HVAC markets [12][24] - The IPS segment reported net sales of $649.8 million, a decrease of 3.8%, primarily due to project timing in the metals and mining market [12][24] - The Automation & Motion Control segment saw net sales of $411.1 million, a decrease of 2.6%, impacted by challenges in the medical market and sourcing rare earth magnets [12][24] Cash Flow and Debt Management - The company entered into a $400 million accounts receivable securitization facility, contributing $368.5 million to operating cash flows in Q2 2025, which was used to repay a significant portion of existing bank loans [4][11] - Cash from operating activities for Q2 2025 was $523.2 million, with adjusted free cash flow of $493 million, including proceeds from the receivables securitization facility [11][23] - The company paid down $469.8 million of gross debt, resulting in a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of approximately 3.3x [11][23]