Market Overview - U.S. stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 1.04%, S&P 500 futures down 1.01%, and Nasdaq futures down 1.26% [1] - European indices also show declines, with Germany's DAX down 1.46%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.31%, France's CAC 40 down 0.94%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 1.24% [2][3] Oil and Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil increased by 8.39% to $73.75 per barrel, while Brent crude rose by 7.68% to $74.69 per barrel [4] - The rise in oil prices is attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly following Israel's attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, raising concerns about broader conflict in the Middle East [4] Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates, with conditions for a rate cut becoming more favorable due to cooling inflation and a weak job market [5] - Goldman Sachs has lowered the probability of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months from 35% to 30%, citing easing trade tensions and improved financial conditions [6] Energy Sector Analysis - JPMorgan forecasts that in a worst-case scenario, oil prices could rise to $120-130 per barrel if conflicts escalate, particularly if Iranian oil exports are significantly disrupted [7] Technology Sector Developments - Major tech stocks are experiencing declines, with semiconductor stocks leading the drop, including TSMC, ASML, and Micron, all down over 2% [9] - Adobe reported a strong Q2 performance with sales up 11% year-over-year, driven by AI integration, although its stock fell over 2% in pre-market trading [10] - Apple plans to release an upgraded version of Siri in Spring 2026, marking a significant step in its AI strategy [11] - AMD's CEO announced significant performance improvements in its new MI355 chip, aiming to capture a larger share of the AI chip market [12] Shipping and Oil Transportation - Frontline, a major oil tanker operator, saw its stock rise over 6% in pre-market trading due to increased caution in transporting oil from Iran following recent military actions [13]