The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) is one of the most undervalued stocks to buy and hold for 5 years. On October 1, Evercore ISI downgraded Allstate to In Line from Outperform with a price target of $233, up from $230. This sentiment came prior to the company’s Q3 2025 earnings report. Earlier for Q2, Allstate reported $16.6 billion in revenue, which marked a 5.8% increase year-over-year. Net income reached $2.1 billion, while adjusted net income was $1.6 billion. Allstate also grew its customer base and ...

Core Viewpoint - Allstate's second-quarter earnings exceeded expectations, driven by strong premium growth and improved investment income, although total revenues slightly missed consensus estimates [2][3]. Financial Performance - Adjusted net income for Q2 2025 was $5.94 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 78.9%, and significantly up from $1.61 a year ago [2]. - Operating revenues increased by 6.1% year over year to $16.8 billion, but fell short of the consensus mark by 2.9% [2]. - Property and casualty insurance premiums rose 7.8% year over year to $15 billion [4]. - Net investment income was $754 million, a 5.9% increase year over year, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $815.4 million [4]. - Total costs and expenses decreased by 3% year over year to $14.8 billion, lower than the estimated $16.2 billion [5]. Segment Performance - The Property-Liability segment's premiums earned increased by 7.5% year over year to $14.3 billion, although it fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.4% [7]. - The Protection Services segment reported revenues of $867 million, a 12.2% year-over-year increase [8]. - The Allstate Health and Benefits segment saw a 50.4% decline in premium and contract charges to $235 million due to the sale of the Employer Voluntary Benefits unit [8]. Financial Position - As of June 30, 2025, Allstate had a cash balance of $995 million, up from $704 million at the end of 2024 [9]. - Total assets increased to $115.9 billion from $111.6 billion at the end of 2024 [9]. - Total equity rose to $24 billion from $21.4 billion at the end of 2024, with a book value per common share of $82.40, reflecting a 32.6% year-over-year increase [9]. Market Outlook - Estimates for Allstate have trended upward, with a consensus estimate shift of 7.33% in the past month [10]. - The stock has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [12]. - Allstate's overall VGM Score is A, indicating strong performance across growth, momentum, and value metrics [11].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for the second quarter were $16.6 billion, a 5.8% increase compared to 2024 [6] - Net income was $2.1 billion, with adjusted net income at $1.6 billion or $5.94 per diluted share [6] - Adjusted net income return on equity was 28.6% over the trailing twelve months [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total policies in force increased by 2.08 million, a 4.2% rise year-over-year, primarily driven by Allstate Protection Plans [6] - Personal Property Liability policies in force grew by 0.8% [6] - The Property Liability business generated nearly $1.3 billion in underwriting income, with a combined ratio of 91.1, a 10-point improvement from the prior year [15] - Auto insurance combined ratio improved to 86%, a 9.9-point improvement from 2024 [16] - Homeowners business had a combined ratio of 102% due to $1.6 billion in catastrophe losses, despite strong underlying margins [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Auto insurance policies in force increased by 2.4% compared to the prior year quarter, with growth in active brands [20] - Homeowners insurance policies in force grew by 2.3% relative to the prior year quarter [18] - The Protection Services segment generated $867 million in revenue for the quarter, reflecting a 16.6% increase year-over-year [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to increase personal property liability market share and expand customer protection [5] - The Transform and Grow strategy is in Phase four, focusing on new product offerings and enhanced distribution capabilities [8] - The company is leveraging advanced technology and pricing sophistication to improve competitiveness and customer access [10][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the transformative growth strategy, indicating it is working effectively [32] - The company is optimistic about growth in New York and New Jersey, anticipating regulatory approvals for new products [34] - Management highlighted the importance of retention and customer interaction to sustain growth [82] Other Important Information - The company completed divestitures of the employee voluntary benefits and group health businesses for a combined $3.25 billion [25] - Shareholder returns included $1.1 billion in dividends and $445 million in share repurchases [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about potential tailwinds and headwinds for growth? - Management acknowledged the decline of inactive brands but expects the rate of decline to diminish over time, emphasizing commitment to growth in personal property liability [31][32] Question: How do you think about the lifetime profitability of the business? - Management stated that all written business is evaluated for lifetime value, ensuring a clean book and strong profitability across channels [35][36] Question: Can you discuss frequency trends and the impact of technology? - Management noted a downward trend in auto frequency, driven by advanced safety features in vehicles, while also highlighting the importance of telematics [44][42] Question: Can you provide insights on the reinsurance program changes? - The company increased its total catastrophe reinsurance limit to over $11 billion, with a 10% risk-adjusted decrease in cost [49][50] Question: How is the competitive environment affecting growth? - Management believes the company is well-positioned to grow and earn attractive returns, citing broad distribution and competitive pricing as key advantages [78][79] Question: What is the outlook for the Canadian business? - Management expressed confidence in the Canadian market, indicating a belief in the company's ability to succeed there [59] Question: How do you view the direct-to-consumer strategy? - Management expects the direct-to-consumer segment to grow, with advertising expenses aligned with customer acquisition strategies [90][92]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for the second quarter were $16.6 billion, a 5.8% increase compared to 2024 [5] - Net income was $2.1 billion, with adjusted net income at $1.6 billion or $5.94 per diluted share [5] - Adjusted net income return on equity was 28.6% over the trailing twelve months [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total policies in force increased by 2.08 million, or 4.2% year-over-year, led by Allstate Protection Plans [5] - Personal Property Liability policies in force increased by 0.8% [5] - The Property Liability business generated nearly $1.3 billion of underwriting income with a combined ratio of 91.1, a 10-point improvement from the prior year [14] - Homeowners business had a combined ratio of 102% due to $1.6 billion in catastrophe losses, despite strong underlying margins [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Auto insurance policies in force increased by 0.5% year-over-year, while homeowners policies grew by 2.3% [16] - The auto insurance segment saw a combined ratio of 86%, a 9.9-point improvement from 2024 [14] - The Protection Services segment generated $867 million in revenue, reflecting a 16.6% increase year-over-year [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to increase personal property liability market share and expand customer protection [4] - The Transform and Grow strategy is in Phase four, focusing on new auto insurance products and enhanced distribution channels [6][7] - The company is leveraging advanced technology and large language models to improve customer access and claims processes [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the transformative growth strategy, indicating that it is generating significant new business [28] - The company is optimistic about growth in New York and New Jersey, anticipating regulatory approvals for new products [31] - Management highlighted the importance of retention and customer interaction to sustain growth [21] Other Important Information - The company completed divestitures of the employee voluntary benefits and group health businesses for a combined $3.25 billion [22] - Shareholder returns included $1.1 billion in dividends and $445 million in share repurchases [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss potential tailwinds and headwinds for growth? - Management acknowledged the decline of inactive brands but noted that the impact on overall results will diminish over time [28] Question: How do you view the lifetime profitability of the business across different channels? - Management emphasized confidence in the lifetime value of all written policies, supported by sophisticated analytical systems [32] Question: Can you elaborate on frequency trends and the impact of technology? - Management noted a downward trend in auto frequency, driven by advanced safety features in vehicles [39] Question: What changes have been made to the reinsurance program this year? - The company increased its total catastrophe reinsurance limit to over $11 billion, up $2 billion from last year, with a 10% risk-adjusted decrease in cost [44] Question: How is the competitive environment affecting new business retention? - Management expressed confidence in their competitive positioning, citing broad distribution and improved customer value [72] Question: What is the company's long-term view on the Canadian market? - Management remains optimistic about winning in Canada despite competitors exiting the market [54]

Core Insights - The Allstate Corporation reported a strong second-quarter 2025 adjusted net income of $5.94 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 78.9% and significantly up from $1.61 a year ago [1][9] - Operating revenues increased by 6.1% year over year to $16.8 billion, although this figure fell short of the consensus estimate by 2.9% [1][2] Financial Performance - The growth in earnings was driven by an increase in premiums and improved investment income in the Property-Liability business, along with reduced costs and expenses [2] - Property and casualty insurance premiums rose by 7.8% year over year to $15 billion, while net investment income reached $754 million, a 5.9% increase year over year, although it missed the consensus estimate of $815.4 million [3][9] - Total costs and expenses decreased by 3% year over year to $14.8 billion, attributed to lower claims and benefits, leading to a pretax income of $2.7 billion, up from $430 million a year ago [4][9] Segment Performance - The Property-Liability segment's earned premiums increased by 7.5% year over year to $14.3 billion, despite falling short of the consensus estimate by 1.4%. Underwriting income improved to $1.3 billion from a loss of $145 million in the prior year [6] - The Protection Services segment reported revenues of $867 million, a 12.2% year-over-year increase, while adjusted net income rose to $60 million from $55 million [7] - The Allstate Health and Benefits segment saw a significant decline in premiums and contract charges by 50.4% year over year to $235 million due to the sale of the Employer Voluntary Benefits unit, with adjusted net income dropping 93.1% year over year [7] Financial Position - As of June 30, 2025, Allstate had a cash balance of $995 million, up from $704 million at the end of 2024. Total assets increased to $115.9 billion from $111.6 billion [8] - Debt remained stable at $8.1 billion, while total equity rose to $24 billion from $21.4 billion at the end of 2024. Book value per common share increased by 32.6% year over year to $82.40 [8]

Core Insights - The Allstate Corporation (ALL) has successfully completed the sale of its Group Health business to Nationwide for $1.25 billion, with an expected financial book gain of approximately $500 million [1][7] - This divestiture is part of Allstate's broader strategy to exit its Health and Benefits operations, which was announced in November 2023, and aims to enhance focus on its core Property-Liability and Protection Services segments [2][4][7] - The total proceeds from the divestitures of the Group Health and Employer Voluntary Benefits businesses amount to $3.25 billion [3][7] Financial Performance - Premiums earned in the Property-Liability segment have benefited from rate increases in Q1 2025, while contributions from Allstate Protection Plans and Arity have driven growth in the Protection Services unit [5] - Allstate's shares have increased by 25.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 19.8% [6] Strategic Motives - Allstate's divestiture strategy is aimed at reallocating capital from lower-return businesses to reinvest in core operational areas, thereby strengthening its market presence in the Property-Liability segment and expanding its protection service offerings [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Allstate Corporation reported a first-quarter 2025 adjusted net income of $3.53 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 56.2%, but showing a year-over-year decline of 31.2% [1]. Financial Performance - Operating revenues increased by 8.9% year over year to $16.8 billion, although it fell short of the consensus estimate by 1.9% [1][2]. - Property and casualty insurance premiums rose by 8.8% year over year to $14.7 billion, while net investment income grew by 11.8% year over year to $854 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $821.4 million [3]. - Total costs and expenses increased by 14% year over year to $15.7 billion, driven by higher claims and operating costs, with catastrophe losses rising to $2.2 billion from $731 million a year ago [4]. Segment Performance - The Property-Liability segment's premiums earned increased by 8.7% year over year to $14 billion, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1%. Underwriting income decreased to $360 million from $898 million in the prior year [6]. - The Protection Services segment reported revenues of $860 million, up 14.2% year over year, with adjusted net income slightly increasing to $55 million from $54 million [7]. - The Allstate Health and Benefits segment saw premiums and contract charges rise by 1.9% year over year to $487 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1%, while adjusted net income dropped by 46.4% year over year to $30 million [8]. Financial Update - As of March 31, 2025, Allstate had a cash balance of $840 million, total assets of $115.2 billion, and total equity of $22.1 billion, reflecting increases from the end of 2024. Book value per common share was $74.61, up 19.8% year over year [9]. Market Position - Allstate currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [10].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for Q1 2025 were $16.5 billion, an increase of 7.8% compared to Q1 2024 [6] - Net income for the quarter was $566 million, with adjusted net income at $949 million, translating to $3.53 per diluted share [6] - Adjusted net income return on equity was 23.7% over the last twelve months [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Property liability business generated $360 million in underwriting income, with a combined ratio of 97.4%, which was 4.4 points higher than the prior year due to $3.3 billion in gross catastrophe losses [13] - The auto combined ratio was 91.3%, with average earned premium increases outpacing losses [14] - Homeowners policies grew by 2.5% year-over-year, while total property liability policies increased by 0.1% in the quarter [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - New business applications for auto insurance were up 31.2% compared to the prior year, with strong growth across all distribution channels [18] - The homeowners business generated mid-teens growth in revenue, indicating a strong growth opportunity [70] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to increase personal property liability market share and expand customer protection [6] - A transformative growth strategy is being executed to improve customer value and lower costs, which has resulted in a 6.7-point improvement in the adjusted expense ratio [9] - The company is focused on expanding distribution channels, enhancing agent productivity, and increasing direct sales [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the industry is operating with good profitability and does not foresee aggressive rate reductions despite competitive pressures [31] - The SAVE program aims to improve customer interactions and retention, with a goal of enhancing affordability and overall customer experience [39] - Management expressed confidence in the company's strategy and ability to deliver value for shareholders and protection to customers [28] Other Important Information - The company completed the sale of its employee voluntary benefits business for $2 billion on April 1, 2025 [8] - A $1 billion share repurchase program was instituted, with a quarterly dividend increase to $1 per share [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Views on competition and pricing aggressiveness - Management indicated that while there is a reduction in the rate of increases in auto insurance, the market remains rational with a focus on profitability [31][33] Question: Sustainability of recent improvements in policies in force - Management noted that new business levels are up significantly, and retention is stabilizing, with efforts in the SAVE program aimed at improving customer retention [36][39] Question: New applications and advertising impact - Management confirmed that new business levels are being maintained and that there is potential for further growth with product rollouts and advertising investments [44] Question: Impact of tariffs on auto insurance margins - Management stated that they will manage through tariff impacts and are prepared to adjust pricing as necessary to maintain margins [92] Question: Retention challenges and SAVE program effectiveness - Management acknowledged that retention remains a challenge but emphasized efforts to improve customer experience and affordability through the SAVE program [104][108]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for the first quarter were $16.5 billion, an increase of 7.8% compared to the first quarter of 2024 [7] - Net income was $566 million, with adjusted net income at $949 million, translating to $3.53 per diluted share [7] - Adjusted net income return on equity was 23.7% over the last twelve months [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The property liability business generated $360 million of underwriting income, with a combined ratio of 97.4%, which was 4.4 points higher than the prior year due to $3.3 billion in gross catastrophe losses [14] - The auto combined ratio was 91.3%, with average earned premium increases outpacing losses [15] - Homeowners policies grew by 2.5% year-over-year, while total property liability policies increased by 0.1% in the quarter [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - New business applications for auto insurance were 31.2% above the prior year, with strong growth across all distribution channels [20] - The company reported a 27% increase in personalized new business items compared to the previous year [12] - The homeowners business is experiencing mid-teens revenue growth, indicating a strong market position [72] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to increase personal property liability market share and expand customer protection [7] - A transformative growth strategy is being executed to improve customer value and lower costs, which has led to improved expense ratios [10] - The company is focused on expanding distribution channels, enhancing agent productivity, and increasing direct sales [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the rationality of the competitive market, with no aggressive rate reductions expected [34] - The company is optimistic about sustaining new business levels and improving retention through initiatives like the SAVE program [39] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining profitability while managing potential impacts from tariffs and inflation [93] Other Important Information - The company completed the sale of its employee voluntary benefits business for $2 billion [9] - A $1 billion share repurchase program was instituted, with $100 million already executed in the first quarter [76] Q&A Session Summary Question: Views on competition and pricing aggressiveness - Management noted a reduction in the rate of increases in auto insurance and characterized the market as rational, with no aggressive rate reductions expected [33][34] Question: Insights on policy in force (PIF) count and retention - Management indicated that new business levels were up significantly, and retention is stabilizing, with efforts in the SAVE program aimed at improving customer interactions [37][41] Question: Capital position and allocation strategy - Management expressed comfort with the current capital position and outlined a balanced approach to capital allocation, focusing on growth and shareholder returns [75][76] Question: Impact of California's competitive environment on bundling strategy - Management acknowledged that competitors facing challenges in California could create opportunities for the company, particularly in the auto business [82][84] Question: Retention and SAVE program effectiveness - Management emphasized the importance of addressing customer defection triggers and improving customer experience through the SAVE program [108]

Core Insights - The Allstate Corporation has successfully divested its Employer Voluntary Benefits business to StanCorp Financial Group for $2 billion, completing the transaction as planned within the first half of 2025 [1][2] - The divestiture resulted in a pre-tax book gain of approximately $625 million, which will enhance Allstate's capital management strategy, including a new $1.5 billion share buyback program running until September 30, 2026 [2] - Allstate is also in the process of divesting its Group Health business to Nationwide for expected proceeds of $1.25 billion, with total proceeds from both divestitures projected to reach $3.25 billion by 2025 [3][4] Strategic Focus - Allstate's divestiture strategy aims to free up capital from lower-return businesses and reinvest it into core operations, particularly in the personal property-liability sector and protection services [5] - The Property-Liability business saw an 11.2% year-over-year increase in earned premiums in 2024, driven by prudent rate hikes, while the Protection Services segment experienced a 16.7% revenue growth, primarily due to strong performance in Allstate Protection Plans and Arity [6] Market Performance - Allstate's shares have increased by 19.7% over the past year, compared to the industry's growth of 24.5%, and the company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [7]