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FY3Q25全球科技业绩快报:ARM
Haitong Securities International· 2025-11-06 12:46
Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook for the semiconductor industry, particularly for ARM, indicating an outperform rating based on strong earnings and growth prospects [6][9]. Core Insights - ARM's FY2Q26 results significantly exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching $1.14 billion, a year-over-year increase of 34%, and Non-GAAP EPS of $0.39, surpassing guidance by $0.06 [6][8]. - The royalty revenue hit a record $620 million, driven by increased smartphone chip rates and a doubling of datacenter royalties, while license revenue rose 56% year-over-year to $515 million, fueled by AI-related architecture demand [6][7]. - ARM's Neoverse platform is benefiting from surging AI compute demand, with royalties doubling year-over-year, positioning ARM as a core architecture for major hyperscalers [7][8]. - The company announced plans to acquire DreamBig Semiconductor to enhance its capabilities in high-performance networking, which is crucial for future datacenter SoCs and chiplet architectures [8][9]. - For FY3Q26, ARM expects revenue of $1.225 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 25%, with strong demand anticipated across data centers and AI edge devices [9]. Summary by Sections Earnings Performance - ARM's FY2Q26 revenue was $1.14 billion, with a Non-GAAP operating income of $467 million, reflecting an operating margin of 41.1%, up from 38.6% a year ago [6][8]. - Non-GAAP OPEX was $648 million, indicating a 31% increase year-over-year due to ongoing R&D investments [6][7]. Market Trends - The demand for compute capacity has exceeded initial expectations, particularly in reinforcement learning and inference workloads, where power consumption is growing exponentially [7][8]. - The Stargate project, a $500 billion initiative involving OpenAI, SoftBank, and Oracle, is seen as a new infrastructure investment in the AI compute supply chain, with ARM providing essential technology [7][8]. Future Outlook - ARM's guidance for FY3Q26 includes revenue expectations of $1.225 billion, with royalty revenue projected to grow by 20% and license revenue by 25-30% year-over-year [9]. - The company plans to maintain high levels of R&D investment to support its long-term strategy of "AI Everywhere" [9].