Core Insights - The AI-driven bull run of 2023 and 2024 has continued into 2025, with stock prices of AI-centric companies increasing by 300-500% during this period [1] - Old economy stocks from sectors such as industrials, finance, auto, materials, and construction have also seen significant gains, indicating a broad-based market rally [2] Old Economy Stocks - Five old-economy stocks have rallied over 15% year to date and have favorable Zacks Ranks indicating further upside potential in 2026: Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX), The Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV), General Motors Co. (GM), JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), and Crane Co. (CR) [3][9] - Each of these stocks carries a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) [3] Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX) - FIX operates primarily in the HVAC markets and is benefiting from the data center boom driven by AI and cloud computing [6][7] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 14.7% and earnings growth rate of 16.4% for the next year, with a 20.1% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for next year's earnings over the last 30 days [8] The Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) - TRV has a strong market presence in auto, homeowners' insurance, and commercial property-casualty insurance, with a high retention rate and positive renewal premium changes [10][11] - The expected revenue growth rate is 3.4% and earnings growth rate is 6.7% for the next year, with a 2% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for next year's earnings over the last 30 days [12] General Motors Co. (GM) - GM holds a 17% market share in the U.S. automotive market, supported by strong demand for its brands and a 10% year-over-year sales increase in China [13][14] - The expected revenue growth rate is -0.8% and earnings growth rate is 11.5% for the next year, with a 6.5% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for next year's earnings over the last 30 days [15] JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) - JPM is expected to see net interest income growth driven by business expansion initiatives and high interest rates, with a projected CAGR of 3.3% by 2027 [16] - The expected revenue and earnings growth rate for the next year is 3.7%, with a slight improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for next year's earnings [18] Crane Co. (CR) - Crane manufactures engineered industrial products across various regions and has an expected revenue growth rate of 6.1% and earnings growth rate of 9.5% for the next year [19] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for next year's earnings has improved by 2.5% over the last 30 days [19]

Flash | 16 Nov 2025 15:22:42 ET │ 11 pages ZhongAn Online P&C Insurance (6060.HK) What's New from Citi 2025 China Conference: CoR to be Maintained at c.95~96%; ZA Bank Expands Decently CITI'S TAKE We hosted ZhongAn at our China Conference 2025, and we provide our key takeaways as below. Health/innovative/auto insurance to see ample opportunities; Aiming to maintain CoR at c.95~96% –For ZhongAn's domestic P&C insurance business, mgmt noted that health/innovative/auto insurance business is expected to see amp ...

Core Insights - The Allstate Corporation reported estimated catastrophe losses of $83 million for October, which translates to $65 million after-tax, resulting from five wind and hail events [1] - The total number of policies in force as of October 31, 2025, reached 38.155 million, reflecting a 0.3% increase from September 2025 and a 1.4% increase year-over-year [1] Policy Breakdown - Auto insurance policies in force increased to 25.417 million, a 0.3% rise from September 2025 and a 1.7% increase compared to October 2024 [1] - Homeowners insurance policies in force rose to 7.656 million, marking a 0.2% increase from September 2025 and a 2.0% increase year-over-year [1] - Other personal lines remained stable at 4.907 million, with no percentage change from September 2025 and a 0.6% increase from October 2024 [1] - Commercial lines saw a slight increase to 175, up 0.6% from September 2025, but down 23.2% compared to October 2024 [1] Financial Performance - The Allstate Corporation's revenues for the third quarter of 2025 reached $17.3 billion, reflecting a 3.8% increase compared to the previous year [7] - The total number of policies in force increased to 209.5 million, driven by growth in Protection Plans and an increase in homeowners and auto insurance policies [7]

Industry Overview - The property and casualty (P&C) insurance market is experiencing consistent growth, driven by urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and increased awareness of risk mitigation strategies. The global P&C insurance market size was estimated at $3,674.46 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $6,180.14 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.9% from 2024 to 2030 [1][2] Factors Driving Growth - Key factors contributing to the growth of the P&C insurance market include rising awareness of risk management, an increasing number of natural disasters, and heightened property and auto values, which are driving demand for comprehensive insurance coverage [2] Company Analysis: Progressive Corporation (PGR) - Progressive is one of the largest auto insurers in the U.S., holding leading positions in motorcycle, boat, and commercial auto insurance, as well as being among the top 15 homeowners' insurers based on premiums written [4] - The majority of Progressive's premiums come from personal auto insurance, which contributes around 90% of Personal Lines net premiums written and nearly 75% of total company premiums [5] - Progressive's profitability is supported by rate hikes, higher new policy applications, and strategic non-rate actions designed to capture market share [5] - The company has maintained an average combined ratio below 93% over the last decade, outperforming the industry average above 100%, indicating disciplined underwriting and prudent reserving [6] - Progressive's net margins have expanded by 950 basis points in the past two years, driven by increased demand for personal auto insurance and effective risk management [8] - The return on equity for Progressive is 33.9%, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.7% [9] Company Analysis: W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) - W.R. Berkley is among the largest commercial lines property and casualty insurers in the U.S., benefiting from steady growth in direct premiums written [12] - The company has strategically invested in startups since 2006 to expand its geographic footprint and diversify its business portfolio [12] - W.R. Berkley's diversified business model provides resilience against cyclical market pressures, ensuring stable cash flows even during industry volatility [13] - The company has recorded over 60 consecutive quarters of favorable reserve development, reflecting disciplined underwriting and prudent risk management [16] - W.R. Berkley's return on equity is 18.9%, which is better than the industry average [17] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGR's 2025 revenues and EPS implies a year-over-year increase of 15.5% and 26.9%, respectively [18] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WRB's 2025 revenues and EPS implies a year-over-year increase of 6.9% and 2.7%, respectively [20] Valuation Metrics - Progressive is trading at a price-to-book multiple of 3.47, below its five-year median of 4.8, while Berkley's price-to-book multiple is at 3.04, above its five-year median of 2.6 [21] Conclusion - Progressive is focused on increasing the share of auto and home-bundled households and investing in mobile applications to drive growth [22] - W.R. Berkley has a strong growth profile supported by rate increases, reserving discipline, and a solid balance sheet [22] - Despite PGR's year-to-date share decline, it has a higher return on equity compared to WRB, indicating greater efficiency in generating profit from shareholders' equity [23]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues increased to $17.3 billion in Q3 2025, with year-to-date revenues up 5.8% to $50.3 billion compared to the prior year [4][10] - Net income for Q3 was $3.7 billion, with adjusted net income at $3 billion or $11.17 per share, reflecting strong property liability results and higher investment income [4][10] - Return on equity for the last 12 months was 34.7% [11][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Property liability premiums increased by 6.1% in Q3 and 7.4% year-to-date, driven by higher average premiums and policy-in-force growth [10] - Protection services saw a 12.7% increase in premiums compared to Q3 2024, driven by protection plans [10][14] - Total policies in force grew to 209.5 million, a 3.8% increase year-over-year [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Auto insurance new business is evenly split among Allstate agents, independent agents, and direct channels, with all channels showing growth [7] - The homeowners business has a competitive advantage with a low-90s combined ratio target, achieving a recorded combined ratio of 92.3 over the last 10 years [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to increase personal and profit liability market share while expanding customer protection offerings [4] - The transformative growth initiative, now in phase four, focuses on increasing property liability market share through enhanced distribution and technology [5][15] - The introduction of a new technology ecosystem, including generative AI and agentic AI, is expected to improve operational efficiency and customer experience [8][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's capital position and flexibility in deploying capital for growth, share repurchases, or acquisitions [25][26] - The competitive landscape remains challenging, but the company has successfully maintained profitability and market share [56] - Inflation is being monitored closely, with management indicating that while inflation is not completely under control, the uncertainty has decreased [84] Other Important Information - The company has returned $1.6 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in 2025 [22] - The protection services business generated $3.3 billion in revenue with 171 million policies in force [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital management and liquidity at the holding company - Management discussed the flexibility of holding capital at the holding company for various uses, including share repurchases and investments in growth [24][25] Question: Pricing trends excluding New York and New Jersey - Management indicated that overall pricing is adequate, with minimal rate increases needed, and they will respond to loss trends as necessary [28][30] Question: Technology and AI initiatives - Management highlighted the potential of AI to enhance customer interactions and operational efficiency, with ongoing development of the ALLI system [33][36] Question: Auto retention trends - Management noted that retention is being improved through targeted customer engagement and product offerings [65][68] Question: Inflation outlook - Management acknowledged the impact of inflation on various business aspects and indicated a more stable outlook moving forward [81][84]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues increased to $17.3 billion in Q3 2025, with year-to-date revenues up 5.8% to $50.3 billion compared to the prior year [3][9] - Net income for Q3 2025 was $3.7 billion, with adjusted net income at $3 billion or $11.17 per share, reflecting strong property liability results and higher investment income [3][10] - Return on equity for the last 12 months was 34.7% [3][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Property liability premiums increased by 6.1% in Q3 2025 and 7.4% year-to-date, driven by higher average premiums and policy-in-force growth [9] - Protection services saw a 12.7% increase in premiums compared to Q3 2024, with total policies in force growing to 209.5 million, a 3.8% increase year-over-year [9][12] - The protection services business generated $3.3 billion in revenue, with a 15% increase over the prior year quarter [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Auto insurance new business is evenly split between Allstate agents, independent agents, and direct sales, with significant growth across all channels [5] - The company is experiencing increased shopping activity in the auto insurance market, with a 9.3% increase compared to the same period in 2023 [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on transformative growth to increase market share in property liability and expand customer protection offerings [3][4] - A new technology ecosystem utilizing applied artificial intelligence is being developed to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience [6][8] - The company aims to improve customer retention through personalized experiences and the SAVE program, which has helped over 5 million customers reduce premiums [5][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's capital position and flexibility in deploying capital for growth, share repurchases, or acquisitions [24][66] - The competitive landscape remains challenging, but the company has successfully maintained profitability and market share [54][56] - Inflationary pressures are being monitored, with management indicating a more controlled environment compared to previous periods [78][80] Other Important Information - The company has returned $1.6 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in 2025 [20][21] - The combined ratio for auto insurance has averaged 94.9 over the last decade, indicating consistent profitability [10][11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital management and liquidity at the holding company - Management discussed the flexibility of holding capital at the holding company level for various uses, including share repurchases and acquisitions [23][24] Question: Pricing trends excluding New York and New Jersey - Management indicated that overall pricing is adequate, with minimal rate increases needed, and will respond to loss trends as necessary [26][29] Question: Progress on artificial intelligence initiatives - Management highlighted the potential of AI to enhance customer service and operational efficiency, with ongoing development of the ALLI system [31][34] Question: Auto retention trends and strategies - Management noted that retention is being improved through personalized offerings and transitioning customers to new products [61][64] Question: Market dynamics and competition - Management acknowledged the competitive environment but expressed confidence in the company's ability to maintain profitability and market share [52][54] Question: Inflation outlook and its impact - Management discussed the current inflation environment, indicating it is more controlled, and emphasized the importance of monitoring its effects on various business aspects [75][78]

Financial Performance - Allstate's revenues reached $17.255 billion, a 3.8% increase year-over-year[5] - Adjusted net income was $2.976 billion, representing a 184.0% increase[5] - Adjusted net income per diluted common share was $11.17, up by 185.7%[5] - The adjusted net income return on equity was 34.7%, an increase of 8.6 percentage points[5] - Protection Services generated $3.3 billion in premiums earned/other revenue, a 15.4% increase year-over-year[14] - Protection Services adjusted net income trailing twelve months was $211 million, up 23.4% year-over-year[14] Growth & Strategy - Policies in force totaled 209.5 million, a 3.8% increase[5] - Personal property-liability policies in force reached 37.9 million, a 1.4% increase[5] - Property-Liability insurance premiums totaled $14.533 billion, a 6.1% increase[10] - Protection Services premiums reached $720 million, a 12.7% increase[10]

Lemonade (LMND) shares rallied more than 30% this morning after the artificial intelligence (AI) powered insurance firm reported better-than-expected earnings for its third financial quarter. More importantly, the management’s guidance for Q4 revenue also topped expectations, signaling continued momentum through the remainder of 2025. More News from Barchart Following the post-earnings rally, Lemonade stock is trading at more than triple its price in early April. www.barchart.com Is Lemonade Stock a ‘ ...

Across the United States, the cost of insuring a home or car has surged well beyond the pace of inflation — and for many households, the numbers are becoming impossible to ignore. Over the past six years, homeowners’ insurance premiums have climbed more than 40% nationwide, according to industry data. In 2024 alone, average rates jumped 10.4%, with 33 states reporting double-digit increases. (1) Must Read In Utah, rates have soared nearly 60% in just three years, while auto insurance rates have risen 56 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's insurance revenue reached ¥216 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [1] - Net profit rose to ¥45.7 billion, up 19.3% year-on-year, while OPAT stood at ¥28.4 billion, an increase of 7.4% [2][6] - Investment assets approached ¥3 trillion, marking an 8.8% year-on-year growth, with an annualized net investment yield of 2.6%, down 0.3 percentage points [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CPIC Life's total premium income was ¥263.8 billion, up 14.2%, with new business value increasing by 31.2% to ¥15.3 billion [2] - The agency channel's premium income was ¥184.3 billion, a 2.9% increase, while the bank channel delivered ¥58.3 billion in gross written premiums, up 63.3% [3][4] - CPIC P&C recorded gross written premiums of ¥160.2 billion, a slight increase of 0.1%, with auto insurance premiums at ¥80.46 billion, up 2.9% [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The share of mid to high-end customers in the agency channel grew by 4.8% year-on-year [3] - The bank channel's regular premium new business reached ¥15.9 billion, up 43.6% year-on-year [4] - The combined ratio for CPIC P&C was 97.6%, down 1 percentage point year-on-year [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its capabilities to create value and focus on five financial priorities in China's financial market [6] - CPIC Life plans to diversify its product offerings, including unit-linked products for high net worth customers [10] - The bank channel will continue to focus on wealth management and health and retirement needs, empowered by digitization [3][4] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving positive growth in regular premium business, projecting a growth rate of 5% to 10% for 2026 [9] - The company anticipates that the health insurance segment will see significant growth due to strong customer demand and supportive government policies [22] - The investment strategy will remain cautious, focusing on high-dividend stocks and innovative fixed income assets to enhance yields [14][19] Other Important Information - The agency channel's total headcount remained stable at 181,000 agents, with a monthly average first-year premium per agent of ¥71,000, up 16.6% year-on-year [3] - The company issued ¥15 billion in convertible bonds to support capital needs and maintain a strong solvency ratio [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for liability side and agency channel performance - Management expects regular premium business to grow by 5% to 10% next year, with agency new business value also projected to grow positively [9][10] Question: Investment strategy and future yield outlook - The company plans to maintain a balanced strategy between TPL and OCI, focusing on high-quality growth and prudent investment in equities [19][20] Question: Growth in health insurance products - The company will enhance its health insurance offerings, driven by government support and customer demand, with a focus on critical illness and long-term care products [22][23] Question: Combined ratio breakdown and challenges - The combined ratio was impacted by new energy vehicle uncertainties and credit guarantee business, with expectations for improvement in the overall year [25] Question: Agency headcount and productivity - The agency channel's headcount is expected to stabilize, with productivity improvements noted among core agents [26][27] Question: Bond investment strategy and duration management - The company is extending its allocation into long-term bonds and exploring innovative fixed income assets to manage duration risks effectively [36][37]