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Ford, GM Chase Tesla For US EV Crown: 2026 Outlook Signals New Battleground
Benzinga· 2026-01-07 20:22
Core Insights - The U.S. electric vehicle (EV) market saw record deliveries in the third quarter of 2025, with over 1.3 million EVs sold in 2024, marking a 7.3% year-over-year growth [3][10] - General Motors (GM) and Ford are scaling back their EV efforts due to a significant pullback in demand and the expiration of the federal EV tax credit [10][11][12] Sales Performance - The Chevrolet Equinox EV was the top-selling EV in the U.S. for 2025, with 57,195 units sold, reflecting a 100.7% increase year-over-year [9] - Other notable models include the Mustang Mach-E with 51,620 units sold (-0.2%), Hyundai IONIQ 5 with 47,039 units (+6.0%), and Honda Prologue with 39,194 units (+18.7%) [9] - Ford's F-150 Lightning saw a decline in sales, with 27,307 units sold (-18.5%), while the Chevy Blazer EV and Cadillac Lyriq also experienced sales drops [9][10] Market Dynamics - The top-selling EV models list for 2025 includes multiple models from GM, which ranked first, sixth, and eighth, while Ford ranked second and fifth [5][6] - Tesla's Model Y and Model 3 were the best-selling EVs in 2024, with reported sales of 372,613 and 189,903 units, respectively [6][7] - The future of the EV market may shift significantly in 2026, with potential dominance from pure-play EV companies like Tesla, Rivian, and Lucid, as well as foreign automakers [10][13] Strategic Shifts - GM announced the end of production for the BrightDrop fleet EV van and incurred a $1.6 billion charge related to its EV initiatives [11] - Ford plans to focus on traditional vehicles and hybrids, discontinuing the F-150 Lightning EV and outlining a total charge of $19.5 billion related to its EV strategy [12]
General Motors' Q4 US Sales Fall 7% Y/Y: Is EV Weakness the Reason?
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 15:50
Core Insights - General Motors Company (GM) delivered 703,001 vehicles in the U.S. in Q4 2025, marking a 7% year-over-year decline, which aligns with overall industry trends [1][7] - Electric vehicle (EV) sales fell 43% year-over-year to 25,219 units, following a record Q3 due to accelerated purchases ahead of the federal tax credit expiration [1][7] - Despite weaker Q4 results, GM led the U.S. auto market in 2025 with a 6% increase in full-year sales, supported by gains across several segments [2][7] Sales Performance - Sales across GM's core brands declined in Q4 2025: Buick (-10.5%), Cadillac (-16.7%), Chevrolet (-6.7%), and GMC (-3.7%) [2] - GM Envolve achieved its strongest fourth-quarter fleet sales performance since 2018 [2] - GM retained its position as the leading full-size pickup manufacturer for the sixth consecutive year, with the Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra achieving their highest combined sales in two decades [3] Competitive Landscape - In Q4 2025, Tesla sold 418,227 vehicles, down 16% from Q4 2024, with full-year deliveries totaling approximately 1.64 million vehicles [4] - Ford sold 545,216 vehicles in Q4 2025, a 2.7% year-over-year increase, and reported a 6% rise in total sales for the year [5] Valuation and Estimates - GM's shares have outperformed the Zacks Automotive-Domestic industry over the past six months, gaining 57.5% compared to the industry's 48.7% [6] - GM appears undervalued with a forward price/sales ratio of 0.42, significantly lower than the industry's 3.4 [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GM's 2025 EPS has increased by 18 cents in the past 60 days, while the 2026 EPS estimate has risen by 14 cents in the past 30 days [11]
GM(GM) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-22 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record total revenue of $91 billion for the first half of 2025, driven by strong demand and stable vehicle pricing [25] - Adjusted EBIT for Q2 was $3 billion, down $1.4 billion year over year, primarily due to a net tariff impact of $1.1 billion [32][33] - Adjusted automotive free cash flow was $2.8 billion, down $2.5 billion year over year, mainly due to tariff payments and lower dealer inventory levels [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America revenue reached a record nearly $77 billion for the first half, slightly up year over year [26] - The Chevrolet Equinox gained nearly six points of retail market share year over year, with total sales rising more than 20% compared to the same period last year [12][28] - GM International delivered adjusted EBIT of $200 million in Q2, an increase of $150 million year over year, driven by improved profitability from China equity income [39] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - GM's U.S. market share reached 17.3% in the first half of the year, marking a 1.2 percentage point increase year over year [28] - The company was the only foreign OEM to gain market share in China, reporting positive equity income and strong performance in new energy vehicles [10][39] - The overall U.S. industry saw a spike in demand due to tariff-related sales pull ahead, with a full-year outlook of 16 million units [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to grow its U.S. manufacturing footprint and domestic supply chain while strengthening its international business [7][19] - GM is focusing on innovation in batteries, software, and autonomous technology, with significant investments in U.S. assembly plants to increase capacity [19][30] - The company is committed to improving EV profitability through advancements in battery technology and vehicle design [47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's resilience and ability to adapt to new trade and tax policies [7] - The company anticipates a stable pricing environment and expects to offset at least 30% of the tariff impact through strategic actions [43][45] - Management highlighted the importance of a flexible manufacturing footprint to adjust to changing demand in both ICE and EV markets [21][46] Other Important Information - The company has booked $4 billion of deferred revenue from software services, which will be recognized over time [15] - GM's projected Super Cruise revenue is expected to exceed $200 million in 2025 and double in 2026 [16] - The company is investing in battery joint ventures to enhance its supply chain resilience and reduce costs [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk through the accounting for the $600 million related to EVs? - Management explained that the adjustment reflects potential losses on inventory due to market expectations and pricing pressures [50][52] Question: What would be the impact if tariffs with key countries were lower? - Management indicated that lower tariffs would have an immediate positive impact on the company's financials, with ongoing efforts to mitigate tariff impacts [54][56] Question: How do you reconcile pricing assumptions for the second half? - Management noted that fleet pricing normalization is expected, while retail pricing remains stable, supporting their pricing strategy [64][66] Question: What is the strategy for EV profitability given regulatory changes? - Management emphasized a strategic EV portfolio covering various market segments and ongoing efforts to improve EV profitability through cost efficiencies [70][72] Question: How will tariff impacts evolve beyond this year? - Management expects that ongoing investments in U.S. manufacturing will help mitigate tariff costs in the future, although it is too early to predict exact outcomes [80][82]
GM(GM) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-22 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total company revenue for the first half reached a record $91 billion, driven by strong demand and stable vehicle pricing [24] - Adjusted EBIT for the quarter was $3 billion, down $1.4 billion year over year, primarily due to a net tariff impact of $1.1 billion [32][33] - Adjusted automotive free cash flow was $2.8 billion, down $2.5 billion year over year, mainly due to tariff payments and lower dealer inventory levels [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America revenue was nearly $77 billion for the first half, slightly up year over year, with U.S. market share reaching 17.3%, a 1.2 percentage point increase [25][28] - The Chevrolet Equinox saw total sales rise more than 20% compared to the same period last year, gaining nearly six points of retail market share year over year [10][28] - GM International delivered second quarter adjusted EBIT of $200 million, an increase of $150 million year over year, driven by improved profitability from China [39] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, GM reported its second consecutive quarter of year-over-year sales growth, being the only foreign OEM to gain market share [7][8] - The U.S. automotive industry saw a spike in demand due to tariff-related sales pull ahead, particularly in April and May, before normalizing in June and July [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to grow its U.S. manufacturing footprint and domestic supply chain while strengthening its international business and innovating in batteries, software, and autonomous technology [6][7] - A $4 billion investment in U.S. assembly plants will add 300,000 units of capacity for high-margin vehicles, helping to reduce tariff exposure and meet customer demand [16][19] - The company is focused on improving EV profitability through new battery chemistries and lighter vehicle architectures [47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's resilience and ability to adapt to new trade and tax policies, with a focus on long-term profitability in electric vehicle production [6][19] - The guidance for EBIT adjusted remains in the range of $10 billion to $12.5 billion, with EPS diluted adjusted expected between $8.25 and $10 per share [40] Other Important Information - The company has booked $4 billion of deferred revenue from software services, which will be recognized over time [13] - The projected Super Cruise revenue is expected to exceed $200 million in 2025 and more than double in 2026 [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk through the accounting for the $600 million related to EVs? - The adjustment reflects potential losses on inventory due to market expectations and pricing pressures, which is expected to improve as inventory stabilizes [50][52] Question: What would be the impact if tariffs with key countries were reduced? - A reduction in tariffs would have an immediate positive impact, and the company expects to offset at least 30% of the tariff impact through strategic actions [54][56] Question: How do you reconcile pricing assumptions for the second half? - The company maintains a pricing assumption of a 0.5% to 1% increase for the year, despite challenges in fleet pricing due to increased competition [63][66] Question: What is the strategy for EV profitability given regulatory changes? - The company is focused on improving EV profitability through battery technology advancements and lighter vehicle designs, while also maintaining a diverse EV portfolio [70][73] Question: How will tariff impacts evolve beyond this year? - The company anticipates that tariff costs may decrease as trade deals are finalized and production adjustments are implemented [80][82]
3 Reasons to Buy This Top Auto Stock Before It's Too Late
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-31 13:47
Core Viewpoint - General Motors (GM) is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to its robust sales in full-size trucks and SUVs, significant progress in electric vehicles (EVs), and effective shareholder value return strategies. Group 1: Shareholder Value Return - GM has excelled in returning value to shareholders primarily through share repurchases, which have led to an increase in earnings per share as the number of shares outstanding declines [2] - In late 2023, GM initiated a $10 billion accelerated share repurchase program, completed by Q4, and approved an additional $6 billion buyback in June 2024, alongside a 25% increase in its dividend [4] - The company generated $14 billion in adjusted automotive free cash flow in 2024 and returned approximately $7.6 billion to shareholders, maintaining liquidity for growth and strategic initiatives [5] Group 2: Electric Vehicle Progress - GM's EV sales surged by 94% in Q1, capturing a 10.4% market share in the U.S., positioning the company as the No. 2 EV seller in the country [6] - Chevrolet has emerged as the fastest-growing EV brand, with 60% of EV buyers trading in non-GM vehicles, indicating a successful brand expansion [7] - The company must continue to focus on reducing EV costs, particularly battery expenses, to enhance its business segment in the future [7] Group 3: Challenges in China - The Chinese market is experiencing a severe price war among competitors in the EV sector, adversely affecting foreign automakers, including GM [9] - GM proactively undertook a significant restructuring effort costing $5 billion, which included rightsizing operations and launching new vehicles, resulting in a 40% sequential sales increase in Q4 2024, the largest since Q2 2022 [10] Group 4: Overall Assessment - GM is currently performing well across various segments, with strong sales of gasoline-powered vehicles and expanding EV capabilities, alongside aggressive share buybacks contributing to stock price appreciation [11]